The senator from West Virginia threw a wrench yesterday into yet another essential component of President Biden’s climate agenda. This time, it’s the nomination of Sarah Bloom Raskin to be the Federal Reserve’s major banking regulator, a purpose that entails monitoring rising risks to the U.S. monetary system — weather alter among the them.
The transfer narrows Raskin’s possibilities of confirmation in the carefully divided Senate. In the scenario that her nomination does make it out of committee and to the Senate ground, Raskin would want to gain the favor of at the very least one Republican to make up for Manchin’s no vote.
Both equally the White Household and Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), who chairs the Banking Committee, say it is continue to possible. White Property spokesperson Chris Meagher stated in a statement that Raskin is “one of the most experienced people” at any time nominated to the Fed and that the Biden administration is “working to line up the bipartisan assistance that she deserves.”
The Senate’s two most average Republican lawmakers — Sens. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine — said previous evening they ended up not on board.
“They will not have me,” Murkowski instructed E&E Information on whether she would offer her assistance to the White Residence. “Not this Republican, and I’d be hard-pressed to give up any individual else. I imagine she is a flawed nominee.”
Collins explained to reporters she agrees with Manchin’s perception that there is no route forward for Raskin’s nomination.
Raskin, who’s held positions in academia, the Treasury Department and the Fed, has designed a track record as a rough regulator who is attuned to emerging hazards to the U.S. financial system. She’s also garnered the guidance of progressives — and the ire of Republicans — for her past remarks about the obligation of monetary regulators to handle the economic fallout of world wide warming.
Manchin stated yesterday that he’s not able to guidance Raskin’s nomination to be the Fed’s vice chair for supervision since of her weather-associated feedback. Republicans have stalled voting on Raskin for weeks alongside four other Fed picks in the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee.
“Her past public statements have failed to satisfactorily tackle my worries about the vital great importance of funding an all-of-the-previously mentioned energy policy to satisfy our nation’s crucial vitality wants,” Manchin reported in a statement.
The stakes are higher. If Democrats are not thriving and Raskin’s nomination dies in committee or on the Senate ground, it would pose a “huge setback for the administration and for the overall health of the economical technique,” stated Columbia University’s Kathryn Choose, a regulation professor who specializes in monetary regulation.
Which is the case for a handful of factors. Essential among the them is that it indicates however one more money company could be remaining without having a Senate-verified official in a leading regulatory placement. Both equally the Federal Deposit Coverage Corp. and Office of the Comptroller of the Forex are at this time helmed by performing chairs.
That final result at the OCC has been significantly controversial. Biden’s nominee to direct the business, Saule Omarova, withdrew her name from thought in December amid scathing opposition from Republicans and some average Democrats, who cited issues with her tutorial writings, past remarks about the oil and gas marketplace, and own background.
Choose known as it a “troubling trend” and mentioned it is “starting to glance as if the route to confirmation for critical money regulatory roles is as well slim for everyone to traverse.”
The problem then is no matter if the administration would tap a further applicant for the Fed position — and if they would have far better luck. There’s a important caveat: The Fed has no official performing vice chair for supervision to provide as a stand-in.
That usually means the obligations connected with the position at this time slide to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, a Republican who was nominated to the Fed in 2019 by former President Trump. Bowman at this time heads the Fed committee charged with placing the central bank’s agenda on money regulation, a function she would presumably preserve absent a new nominee.
Financial balance skilled Hilary Allen, who is a professor at American University, explained she’s involved that if Raskin is not confirmed, no one particular else will be either. In her eyes, that would be a “a massive reduction in phrases of monetary regulatory policy usually to have this highly effective place empty.”
‘Fluency with the issues’
Senate Electrical power and Natural Sources Chair Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Senate Banking Chair Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) at the Capitol yesterday. | Francis Chung/E&E News
Biden has manufactured addressing “climate-related financial risk” a pillar of his environmental platform. That contains an executive get that he signed in May to stimulate federal businesses, which includes monetary regulators, to consider how serious weather conditions functions and the clean power transition could affect U.S. financial balance.
Raskin has been one particular of the main educational voices on that difficulty. In new a long time, she’s emphasised in speeches, op-eds and public appearances that regulators will need to be taking a more durable seem at these threats and consider what resources they could use to start out addressing them.
When progressives have welcomed her thoughts, some of her remarks have drawn fire from Republicans. In 2020, for occasion, she wrote an op-ed criticizing the Fed for expanding a single of its Covid-19 lending applications in a way that would present taxpayer pounds to fossil electrical power corporations that were in dire monetary straits lengthy prior to the pandemic.
Critics have cited that argument and other individuals as evidence that she’s on a mission to use the Fed to steer pounds absent from large-carbon industries — an accusation Raskin rejected for the duration of her testimony ahead of the Banking Committee in February.
Raskin isn’t the only former or existing Fed official to embrace the concern. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Fed Governor Lael Brainard have stated in latest months the central lender has a slender but critical duty to assess local weather-connected threats, like by building “climate circumstance analyses.”
Even so, there is a common consensus that the Fed lags guiding its intercontinental counterparts when it arrives to making certain banking companies are monitoring their climate vulnerabilities. Judge of Columbia explained she thinks it’s “unlikely the Fed will make meaningful development to lessen that gap with no a confirmed vice chair for supervision.”
Allen, the skilled from American College, mentioned Raskin is specially very well-suited for the occupation.
Her “fluency with the problems is what is actually vital,” said Allen. Without having her at the Fed, “it’s quite most likely we will not have the concentrate we will need on how banks are vulnerable to actual physical and changeover threats.”
Those who analyzed history effectively could don’t forget the town-states of medieval Europe. Back again then, caravans of retailers traveled from a person town-condition to a further, bringing luxurious products and information from much-absent destinations. It was this way of living that enabled these retailers with liberty of mobility and decision. It is a extremely identical strategy to the just one explained by Michael Ondaatje in his reserve The English Affected individual. The writer envisioned full flexibility, without having borders or nationalities limiting men and women in their strive for progress and development.
Now, broader entry to the fiscal marketplaces by means of decentralized finance marks the commencing of the open globe. DeFi has been hugely positive from the standpoint of wealth accumulation and less costly financing, supplying new meaning to the concept of “finance for every person.” By eradicating intermediaries by way of the use of blockchain technological know-how, DeFi widens the scope of money transactions when appreciably decreasing their expenses. It is apparent that DeFi is the long run of finance and other industries. The only problem remaining is: How speedy will we get there?
DeFi wrapped in a yr
It’s quite interesting how, in only ten a long time, we have departed with the notion of Bitcoin (BTC) as a digital currency (and particular lender in a conventional sense) and arrived at Wrapped BTC, farming, and all the other crypto alchemy.
Basically, there are numerous types of applications for DeFi, reflecting the depth of its integration and selection of its works by using. Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) symbolize a significant class of DeFi operations, supplying an authority-cost-free trade of cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins are pegged to exterior belongings, such as fiat currencies and cherished metals. Lending platforms and prediction marketplaces are also widespread in the sector.
Associated: What is shaping the future of the institutional crypto market place?
Famously, DeFi enables yield farming and liquidity mining, giving a specialized niche way to capitalize on crypto assets now long gone mainstream.
Blockchain cities
Full towns now embrace the new paradigm and get ready to welcome crypto-savvy citizens. Seoul, for illustration, formulated a system to turn into a international leader in blockchain technological innovation in 2019. Its then mayor, Park Gained-before long, introduced the Advertising System for Blockchain Metropolis Seoul, which would come to be the foundation for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Even prior to the presentation, numerous administrative solutions were being by now applying blockchain engineering in 2018. Nonetheless, the new plan would increase the scope of engineering by which includes direct democracy, on the internet verification, mileage management through the challenge of S-Coin, the Seoul Citizen card, and lots of some others.
The proposed crypto town in Nevada represents yet another case. It is an experiment conducted by Jeffrey Berns, the cryptocurrency millionaire who acquired land in the state of Nevada and decided to lay the groundwork to develop a town dependent fully on blockchain. The initiative was fulfilled with opposition from the nearby federal government, which has grow to be a single of the most important obstructions on the path of the generation of the new metropolis. The decentralization ingredient was scaring politicians since of the prospective for them to shed manage. On the other hand, the new congressional hearing on World wide web3 provides hopes for reaching prevalent ground relating to this topic.
Notably, Dubai introduced its Dubai Blockchain Technique initiative, getting to be a substantial component of the United Arab Emirates’ Blockchain Approach 2021, which seeks to migrate at least 50 per cent of governing administration transactions on to the blockchain. The authorities noticed an economic option for positive transformation in its progressive approaches. Now, Dubai attracts blockchain evangelists and digital nomads from all in excess of the entire world.
Related: The crypto oasis: How the UAE became the Middle East’s digital asset winner
Good governments
It has turn into obvious that governments’ failure to notice the probable of DeFi and blockchain could possibility resulting in an financial lag in their respective nations. The start of the central financial institution digital forex (CBDC) has become the primary indicator suggesting governments’ motion to the implementation of blockchain-centered technological know-how.
The Atlantic Council has produced a device tracking all international locations in terms of their several CBDC projects’ phases. Notice that Ukraine, China, Sweden, South Africa, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and a number of some others have currently launched the pilot versions of their CBDCs. At the very same time, Nigeria, the Bahamas, and Eastern Caribbean international locations have released their CBDCs as doing work assignments.
Some see the governments not only as ruling establishments but also as performing support providers. Global financial independence, fueled by DeFi, would allow the range of governments offering the most effective services in terms of their high quality, velocity and effectiveness. This specifically fears the taxation of crypto property.
Duty is freedom
In crypto, your keys signifies you own your cash. You are your own financial institution. So, staying accountable for your funds in fact offers the flexibility to invest it as you want, capitalize it as you select, and interact on no matter what system or blockchain you need. To quote Michael Ondaatje:
“We are the true nations around the world, not the boundaries drawn on maps with the names of impressive adult males.”
Nationality doesn’t suggest a place, but a belonging to a specific team. A single working day, an complete team might transfer to its have metaverse. Since the level of competition for skilled pros could come to be much more intense in a visa-free of charge routine, whole metropolitan areas and nations may possibly come up with peculiar tactics to attract digital nomads. But would they ever settle down, having this liberty?
This write-up does not comprise expense guidance or tips. Each individual financial investment and investing transfer includes risk, and visitors should perform their individual exploration when earning a determination.
The sights, feelings and viewpoints expressed below are the author’s by itself and do not necessarily replicate or symbolize the views and thoughts of Cointelegraph.
Katia Shabanova is founder of Ahead PR Studio, bringing 20+ many years of expertise in implementing courses for IT firms ranging from Fortune 1000 businesses and undertaking resources to pre-IPO startups. She holds BA in English philology and German scientific studies from Santa Clara College in California and gained a Masters in philology from the College of Göttingen in Germany. She’s been printed in Benzinga, Investing, iTWire, Hackernoon, Macwelt, Embedded Computing Structure, CRN, CIO, Protection Journal and others.
Stocks rose Wednesday to recover some losses after a volatile start to the week, as concerns over the impact of the punitive measures countries and companies have taken against Russia weighed on U.S. equity markets.
The S&P 500 closed 2.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} higher at 4,277.89 — posting its biggest gain since June 2020. The Dow gained 650 points, or 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, closing at 33,286.25. The Nasdaq jumped 3.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} closing at 13,255.55, logging its biggest advance since exactly a year ago on March 9, 2021. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, dropped nearly 10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} but still held above the 30 level. A day earlier, the S&P 500 dropped another 0.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on Tuesday to bring its year-to-date losses to 12.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The Dow shed more than 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to sink further into a correction, while the Nasdaq Composite extended losses after sliding into a bear market earlier this week.
Crude oil prices pulled back from 14-year highs after Ukraine signaled it was aiming to pursue a diplomatic solution to Russia’s war. West Texas intermediate crude sank to just over $110 per barrel, while Brent crude traded just above $112 per barrel Wednesday afternoon. Gas prices at the pump, however, spiked to a fresh high across the U.S.
“You can’t have the rise at the fuel pumps not hit the economic pockets of everyday Americans, because it’s going to make everything go up in costs,” Victoria Greene, G-Squared Private Wealth founding partner, told Yahoo Finance Live. “Anything that rides on four wheels or six wheels, including all your shipping — it’s going to make all your costs rise. We’re already in an inflationary environment … it really is going to be something that we have to watch.”
“I don’t think that sanctions are going to go away,” she added. “The world is … angry at this situation. So let’s say miraculously we get a ceasefire tomorrow, I think the general shrinkage and the issues with supply chains are going to be a sticky situation for the rest of the year.”
And beyond the growing list of government-imposed sanctions against Russia, a myriad of major U.S. companies announced fresh plans to stop doing business in Russia for the foreseeable future. In the restaurants space, McDonald’s (MCD), Starbucks (SBUX), Coca-Cola (KO) and PepsiCo (PEP) said they would close some or all operations in Russia. Amazon Web Services said it would stop bringing on new sign-ups from Russia and Belarus, and Shopify announced it was suspending operations in the countries as well.
Given the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and push to isolate Russia from the global economy, some strategists suggested investors should brace for more market volatility.
“I don’t think we’ve seen the bottom yet. And I’d like to be more optimistic, but the reason I say this is, when it comes to oil [and] other commodities, we’re still seeing shocks make their way through the system,” Ann Berry, Wheelhouse chief investment officer, told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday.
“We’re not done when it comes to oil and gas yet,” she added. “The U.K. and Europe have said that by the end of this year they’ll start weaning themselves from Russian exports – it’s not fast enough. And if the situation in Ukraine doesn’t get better, I do think there’s a scenario here where Europe will be pushed to take tougher actions faster, which is going to send oil prices only one way which is up from where it is right now.”
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4:00 p.m. ET: Nasdaq jumps 3.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in biggest advance in a year
Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:00 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +107.16 (+2.57{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,277.86
Dow (^DJI): +652.65 (+2.00{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,285.29
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +459.99 (+3.59{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,255.55
Crude (CL=F): -$14.10 (-11.40{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $109.60 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$49.40 (-2.42{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,993.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +7.6 bps to yield 1.9480{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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1:11 p.m. ET: Crude oil prices sink, Brent drops more than 12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after Ukraine official says country is ‘ready for a diplomatic solution’
Prices for West Texas intermediate and Brent crude oil prices sank Wednesday afternoon after a Ukrainian foreign policy aide to President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the country was “ready for a diplomatic solution,” according to an interview with Bloomberg Television.
“Our first and foremost pre-condition for having such kind of negotiations is immediate cease-fire and withdrawal of Russian troops,” Ihor Zhovkva, deputy chief of staff to Zelenskiy, told Bloomberg. He added, however, that Ukraine would not trade “a single inch” of Ukrainian territory to Russia, and noted that Ukraine will continue to pursue NATO membership.
Zelenskiy also reiterated to German media outlet Bild TV Wednesday that he believed “only after the direct talks between the two presidents can we end this war,” referring to discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin. For now, Zelenskiy has not had direct contact with Putin.
Brent crude oil prices dropped more than 12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to trade just above $112 per barrel, while West Texas intermediate sank to hover just over $111 per barrel.
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10:47 a.m. ET: Bitcoin prices jump 9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, topping $42,000 after Biden announces crypto regulation executive order
The White House on Wednesday unveiled President Joe Biden’s executive order creating a framework for agencies to study and come up with a government-wide approach to regulating cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin prices jumped nearly 10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to top $42,000 following the announcement, which had been hinted at for weeks now. The executive order was originally set to be signed last month, though the timing was shifted due to the Russia-Ukraine crisis, Yahoo Finance’s Jennifer Schonberger reported.
One of the key tenets of the order calls for the government to explore a central bank digital currency (CBDC).
“The Order directs the U.S. Government to assess the technological infrastructure and capacity needs for a potential U.S. CBDC in a manner that protects Americans’ interests,” according to the White House. “The Order also encourages the Federal Reserve to continue its research, development, and assessment efforts for a U.S. CBDC, including development of a plan for broader U.S. Government action in support of their work.”
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10:14 a.m. ET: Job openings hold near record high in January: JOLTS
U.S. job openings held at a near-record level in January, with widespread labor shortages still weighing on the domestic economy while keeping leverage high for workers looking to switch jobs.
Vacancies totaled 11.263 million in the first month of 2022, the Labor Department said in its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) on Wednesday. This compared to an upwardly revised 11.4 million openings in December, which marked a record in data going back to 2001. Consensus economists were looking for 10.950 million vacancies for January, according to Bloomberg consensus data.
The number of quits in January edged down just slightly, or by 151,000 compared to December, to reach 4.3 million. And the quits rate decreased to 2.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which was still elevated but retreated from December’s record high of 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
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9:32 a.m. ET: Stocks open sharply higher, Nasdaq gains more than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
The three major indexes posted a rebound Wednesday morning to pare some recent declines as investors eyed the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and mounting global sanctions.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq moved sharply higher Wednesday morning. Technology stocks led the way higher, helping the Nasdaq jump more than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The Dow added more than 500 points, or 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. In the S&P 500, the consumer discretionary, information technology and financial sectors led the way higher.
Treasury yields rose across the curve as peak concerns over U.S. and global economic growth came down, and investors rotated back toward risk assets. The benchmark 10-year yield rose by nearly 4 basis points to break above 1.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
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7:22 a.m. ET: Stocks point to a higher open, Dow futures gain 450+ point
Here’s where markets were trading Wednesday morning:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +64.75 points (+1.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,233.50
Dow (^DJI): +459.00 (+1.41{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,061.00
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +257.50 (+1.94{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,524.50
Crude (CL=F): -$2.81 (-2.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $120.89 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$21.60 (-1.06{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,021.70 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.9 bps to yield 1.91{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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6:10 p.m. ET Tuesday: Stock futures open lower
Here’s where stocks were trading Tuesday evening:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -11.50 points (-0.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,157.25
Dow futures (YM=F): -44 points (-0.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,558.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -53.25 points (-0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,213.75
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – MARCH 08: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 08, 2022 in New York City. The Dow was up slightly in morning trading as the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues to unsettle global markets. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Wall Street’s main benchmarks attempted a comeback into Tuesday’s close but turned lower as investors weighed an announcement by President Joe Biden that the U.S. will ban Russian imports of oil and energy, stoking worries the move could raise gas prices further and worsen inflation.
[Click here to read what’s moving markets heading into Wednesday, March 9]
Fears of a recession spurred by concerns over the economic consequences of Russia’s war in Ukraine have prompted investors to jettison stocks and stockpile safe-haven assets in recent days.
The S&P 500 shed 0.73{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 4,170.62, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated from a 300-point jump to close 0.57{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} lower at 32,631.72. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 12,795.55. The moves extend losses from a sell-off in Monday’s session that saw the Dow fall into correction territory and the Nasdaq enter a bear market.
Meanwhile, energy prices have skyrocketed on talks Western nations will upend the use of Russian energy. The Biden administration moved forward with its ban on crude oil imports from the country Tuesday without participation of some European allies, acknowledging the countries “may not be in a position to join.” The U.K. is also expected to phase out imports of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022 and consider banning its natural gas.
“Surging oil prices can’t singularly trigger a recession and it would take more than sky-high energy prices for the consumer impact to become recessionary,” David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer of eponymoys firm, The Bahnsen Group, said in a note. “The big question now is what the plans are to replace Russian oil in American and European supply needs and then how effective an embargo may prove to be in de-escalating the military situation in Ukraine.”
Russian energy products comprise only 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of total petroleum imports, including crude oil, in the U.S., but European countries rely more heavily on Russian crude oil and natural gas for energy.
“You’re going to see alternative sources of supply from countries that might not have been part of the developed economy before,” Interos Inc. CEO Jennifer Bisceglie told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday. “You’re seeing China, India, and Latin America stand up and say ‘we can do this too.’”
WTI crude oil futures rose to $124.12 per barrel on Tuesday, while Brent crude oil futures hit $128.38 per barrel. Gold futures remained above $2,000 per ounce after hitting the highest level in 18 months Monday.
“While oil prices could rise above $150 per barrel and well beyond that, the key question for investors is not what price oil could reach, but what price oil could be sustained at,” Bahnsen said in his note. “The price that oil will settle at will carry the most economic ramifications.”
Meanwhile, Nickel trading was suspended on the London Metal Exchange (LME) after its price spiked above $100,000 per metric ton thanks to a short-squeeze on the commodity driven by supply concerns over the Russia-Ukraine war. The LME said it does not expect to restart nickel trading before March 11.
“What we’re seeing is the reminder that volatility is a feature of financial markets,” Brown Brothers Harriman chief investment strategist Scott Clemons told Yahoo Finance Live. “I would be very nervous about energy, not only because of how it’s done, but as a reminder, geopolitical unrest like this can lead to a spike in oil prices — and they can be quite scary — but they can also resolve rather quickly.”
“We’re seeing a lot of energy companies that have run away far on the upside anticipating not just elevated prices of the underlying commodity but extended elevated prices,” Clemons said. “That is certainly a possible outcome if this prolongs and disruptions continue, but oil can go right back down as quickly as it went up if there is a quicker resolution to these unrests in Ukraine than markets currently anticipate.”
The exacerbating crisis in Ukraine has raised worries a dent in global trade flows and further supply chain disruptions could push inflation even higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest CPI print due out Thursday could show an annual jump of as much as 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, according to consensus economist estimates.
The geopolitical turmoil is also expected to derail the Federal Reserve from an aggressive first bump in interest rates — investors had previously considered the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate hike — with Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaling a potential move of 0.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at the Fed’s policy meeting on March 15 and 16 in congressional testimony last week.
“Of course, a policy mistake is possible, but we believe the Fed will manage interest rate adjustments with the economic impacts of the war in Ukraine,” Comerica Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer John Lynch said in a note. “Fed Chair Jerome Powell appears poised to tackle inflation and is prepared to take the steps necessary to support consumers from surging energy prices.”
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4:00 p.m. ET: Stocks falter as investors mull implications of U.S. Russian oil embargo
Here’s how markets fared at the end of Tuesday’s trading session:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -30.47 (-0.73{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,170.62
Dow (^DJI): -185.66 (-0.57{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,631.72
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -35.41 (-0.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 12,795.55
Crude (CL=F): +$4.72 (+3.95{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $124.12 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$63.00 (+3.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,058.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +12.1 bps to yield 1.8720{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
12:25 p.m. ET: Indexes claw back into positive territory
Here were the main moves in markets as of 12:24 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +31.88 (+0.76{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,232.97
Dow (^DJI): +303.75 (+0.93{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,121.13
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +168.35 (+1.31{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 12,999.32
Crude (CL=F): +$6.50 (+5.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $125.90 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$56.00 (+2.81{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,051.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +10.3 bps to yield 1.8540{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
11:47 a.m. ET: Stocks extended losses as investors weigh U.S. ban on Russian energy
Here were the main moves in markets as of 11:45 a.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -35.23 (-0.84{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,165.86
Dow (^DJI): -176.47 (-0.54{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,640.91
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -134.65 (-1.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 12,696.31
Crude (CL=F): +$8.36 (+7.00{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $127.76 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$72.70 (+3.64{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,068.60 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +10.2 bps to yield 1.8530{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
9:50 a.m. ET: Small biz confidence falls to lowest level in more than a year
U.S. small business confidence dropped to the lowest in over a year in February as surging inflation forced a record number of mom- and pop-operations to raise prices and dampened their economic outlook, a survey out Tuesday reflected.
The National Federation of Independent Business reported its Small Business Optimism Index dropped 1.4 points to 95.7 last month from 97.1 in January, marking the lowest print since January 2021.
A large component of businesses – more than one quarter of respondents – said inflation was their main concern. A record 68{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} said they were implementing price increases of their own as a result, but higher costs on goods still failed to improve bottom-line profit in most cases.
“Inflation is a huge problem for small business,” Comerica Bank chief economist Bill Adams said in a note. “Business sentiment will likely take a leg down in March as companies react to surging energy prices and other spillover from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”
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9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks open mixed as investors continue to monitor Russia-Ukraine crisis
Here’s how the major indexes opened at the start of Tuesday’s trading session:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +4.81 (+0.11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,205.90
Dow (^DJI): +86.45 (+0.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,903.83
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -10.91 (-0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 12,820.05
Crude (CL=F): +$4.69 (+3.93{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $124.09 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$24.50 (+1.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,020.40 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +9.6 bps to yield 1.8470{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
8:53 a.m. ET: US likely to ban imports of Russian oil without EU allies
The White House is expected to ban Russian oil imports and is working closely with European allies on the matter, Democratic U.S. Senator Chris Coons said on Tuesday in an interview with CNN. The announcement may come Tuesday or Wednesday.
After President Joe Biden held a conference call with the leaders of France, Germany and the United Kingdom Monday seeking their support for a Russian oil ban, Reuters reported the U.S. may follow through on an embargo without the participation of allies in Europe.
Russian energy products comprise only 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of total petroleum imports, including crude oil, in the U.S., but European countries rely more heavily on Russian crude oil and natural gas for energy. Germany, the biggest buyer of Russian crude oil, has rejected plans to ban energy imports but is working to expand its use of alternative energy.
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7:44 a.m. ET: Nickel trading suspended on LME after price skyrockets on supply worries
Nickel trading was suspended on the London Metal Exchange (LME) Tuesday after its price spiked above $100,000 per metric ton thanks to a short-squeeze on the commodity driven by supply concerns over the Russia-Ukraine war.
“Following further unprecedented overnight increases in the 3-month nickel price, the LME has made the decision to suspend trading for, at minimum, the remainder of today,” the exchange said in a statement.
“The LME, in close discussion with the Special Committee, has been monitoring the LME market and the effect of the evolving situation in Russia and Ukraine,” the LME added. “It is evident that this has affected the nickel market in particular, and given price moves in Asian hours this morning, the LME has taken this decision on orderly market grounds.”
The price of nickel, used in stainless steel and lithium-ion batteries, more than doubled Tuesday after a 70{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} surge on Monday as traders with large short positions scrambled to cover their positions. Russia’s position as the third largest nickel producer in the world has placed pressure on supply of the commodity.
UKRAINE – 2022/01/11: In this photo illustration, the London Metal Exchange (LME) logo is seen on a smartphone screen and a stock market information in the background. (Photo Illustration by Pavlo Gonchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
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7:35 a.m. ET: Shell to withdraw entirely from Russian oil and gas amid attack on Ukraine
Energy giant Shell said it will halt purchases of Russian crude oil immediately and suspend its service stations in the country. The company also issued an apology after buying a cargo of the commodity last week.
“We are acutely aware that our decision last week to purchase a cargo of Russian crude oil was not the right one and we are sorry,” Shell Chief Executive Officer Ben van Beurden said.
The move by the U.K.-based oil and gas conglomerate adds to a growing list of companies banning Russian crude oil and comes as U.S. officials discuss an import ban.
Last week, Shell vowed to withdraw from all Russian operations, including the flagship Sakhalin 2 LNG plant, 50{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} owned and operated by Russian gas group Gazprom, in which it holds a 27.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} stake. London-based oil and gas company BP has also recently abandoned its 19.75{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} stake in Russian oil giant Rosneft.
Shell’s logo is pictured at a Shell petrol station, in Manchester, on March 8, 2022 as the prices of petrol and diesel fuel continue to rise. – Energy giant Shell said on March 8, 2022 it would withdraw from its involvement in Russian gas and oil, including an immediate stop to purchases of crude from the country. The company also said it would shut its service stations, aviation fuels and lubricants operations in Russia. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP) (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images)
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7:00 a.m. ET: Futures tied to S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq turn higher ahead of open
Here were the main moves in markets in early trading Tuesday:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +20.25 points (+0.48{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,218.75
Dow futures (YM=F): +147.00 points (+0.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,929.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +26.50 points (+0.20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,347.25
Crude (CL=F): +$3.29 (+2.76{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $122.69 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$18.00 (+0.90{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,013.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): 0.00 bps to yield 1.7510{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
6:04 p.m. ET Monday: Stock futures edge lower after earlier sell-off
Here’s where stocks were trading heading into the overnight session Monday:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -8.25 points (-0.20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,190.25
Dow futures (YM=F): -48.00 points (-0.15{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,734.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -37.00 points (-0.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,283.75
Crude (CL=F): +$1.35 (+1.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $120.75 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$6.10 (+0.31{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,002.00 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.7 bps to yield 1.7510{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
People walk near the New York Stock Exchange at Wall Street on February 24, 2022 in New York. – Wall Street stocks opened sharply lower Thursday, joining a global equity sell-off after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine lifted energy prices and prompted debate on further sanctions. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)
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Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
Stocks extended declines on Monday and oil prices soared as investors nervously considered the potential for even higher inflation and greater global economic damage from Russia’s war in Ukraine and sanctions that have ensued.
The S&P 500 closed down nearly 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at 4,200.89, its worst day in more than a year, while the Dow fell 2.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 32,813.56. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at 12,380.96 clocking in its worst day in more than a month, and formally entered a bear market after dropping more than 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from its recent record high. The German DAX index (DAX) as well as the STOXX 50 (FEZ) also each sank to drop into bear markets. Traders piled into safe haven assets, and gold prices (GC=F) briefly jumped above $2,000 per ounce for the first time since September 2020. U.S. Treasury yields advanced.
In energy markets, Brent crude oil prices (BZ=F), the international standard, soared to as much as $137 per barrel, building on gains over the past several weeks. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil (CL=F), likewise, rose to as much as $130.50 a barrel.
The jump in energy prices came as the White House and European nations weighed an import ban on Russian crude oil in a further punitive move for the country’s invasion of Ukraine. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told CNN on Sunday that the Biden Administration was “now talking to our European partners and allies to look in a coordinated way at the prospect of banning the import of Russian oil,” while ensuring global markets remain sufficiently supplied.
The U.S. receives only a small portion of energy products from Russia, with just about 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of total petroleum imports including crude oil coming from the country in 2021, according to the Energy Information Administration. However, such a ban could more negatively impact European countries that have been more reliant on Russian crude oil as well as natural gas for energy. Prices for metals used in fuel cell batteries and other clean energy products including palladium and nickel also spiked on Monday as traders eyed an accelerated move toward renewable alternatives.
“Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—and the Western response to it—will exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance that lies at the heart of the global inflation surge,” Goldman Sachs economist Jan Hatzius wrote in a note Sunday. “Reducing trade with a current account surplus country via sanctions and boycotts means that the rest of the world needs to produce a larger share of what it consumes.”
Hatzius added that “the potential shift is fairly small at an aggregate level,” given Russia comprises less than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the global goods trade and gross domestic product. But in oil, Russia supplies 11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of global consumption, and 17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of natural gas — including as much as 40{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of Western European consumption.
“If Western countries buy less Russian oil, China and India could in principle buy more Russian oil and correspondingly less Saudi and other oil, which can then flow to the West,” Hatzius added. “But this ‘rearrangement of the deck chairs’ isn’t perfect, not only because of increased transport costs and other technical frictions but also because China and India may be reluctant to increase their imports and corresponding payments sharply at a time when Russia is becoming a global pariah.”
The uncertainty over global trade and supplies of key goods has further stoked fears over a further surge in inflation. Later this week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release its February Consumer Price Index, which economists expect will show a 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} annual rise for the largest jump since 1982. And given the latest set of commodity price increases this month, a further rise is also possible.
“We had thought that February was going to mark the peak,” Michelle Girard, NatWest co-head of global economics, told Yahoo Finance Live on Friday. “However, with the rise in energy prices that we’re seeing, I don’t think we can any longer assume that’s going to be the case. Certainly, with respect to the headline numbers, I think, it’s likely that we’ll continue to see upward pressure.”
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4:00 p.m. ET: Stocks end at session lows
Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:00 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -127.98 (-2.96{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,200.89
Dow (^DJI): -801.24 (-2.38{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,813.56
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -482.48 (-3.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 12,830.96
Crude (CL=F): +$4.44 (+3.84{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $120.12 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$34.00 (+1.73{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $2,000.60 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.7 bps to yield 1.7510{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
2:26 p.m. ET: Shares of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks slump amid risk-off move
Shares of major Chinese companies listed in the U.S. sank on Monday amid a broader risk-off tone across global equity markets, and as investors eyed the country’s rising COVID-19 cases.
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (^HXC), which tracks a basket of major U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, dropped more than 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} Monday afternoon to set a record low in data spanning back to early 2017. Major components including Baidu (BIDU) and Chinese electric-vehicle maker XPeng (XPEV) also fell more than 4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} each intraday.
—
12:26 p.m. ET: Stocks extend declines, indexes drop more than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
The three major equity indexes dropped more than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} during afternoon trading, building on earlier losses. Here’s where markets were trading after 12 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -97.90 (-2.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,230.97
Dow (^DJI): -675.37 (-2.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 32,939.43
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -300.53 (-2.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,012.09
Crude (CL=F): +$2.28 (+1.97{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $117.96 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$20.30 (+1.03{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,986.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +1.4 bps to yield 1.736{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
10:26 a.m. ET: ‘Look for these dips to offer opportunities that are shorter-term in nature’: Strategist
With major equity indices continuing to trend lower this year, at least one strategist suggested investors shift from pursuing the buy-and-hold strategy that paid off during the pandemic to a more tactical approach.
“What we saw late last year was a pretty significant loss of long-term upside momentum developing, and of course that’s manifested itself in a pretty sizable corrective phase at this point in thee major indices,” Katie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder, told Yahoo Finance Live on Monday. “So that loss of upside momentum suggests that the market has moved into a trading range perhaps, and with a trading range environment, when you just buy and hold long-term, it doesn’t tend to pay off.”
“However, if you can be more short to intermediate term in your focus, with a time frame of perhaps a couple months maybe, that would be a little bit of a safer bet in terms of adding exposure into corrective phases in a trading range,” she added. “So that’s what our recommendation has been: To look for these dips to offer opportunities that are shorter-term in nature as opposed to having the kind of buy and hold market that we had last year and even part of the year before off of the COVID corrective low.”
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9:50 a.m. ET: Mobileye, Intel’s self-driving unit, files confidentially for an IPO
Mobileye, the self-driving unit of Intel (INTC), filed confidentially for an initial public offering on Monday, according to a statement from Intel.
While Intel did not provide many details about the IPO, the deal could value the automotive tech unit at more than $50 billion, according to a report from Reuters. Intel first bought Mobileye for $15.3 billion in 2017.
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9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks mixed, coming off overnight lows
Here’s where stocks were trading Monday morning just after market open:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -7.19 (-0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,321.68
Dow (^DJI): -111.09 (-0.33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,503.71
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +14.94 (+0.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,332.30
Crude (CL=F): +$0.57 (+0.49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $116.75 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$8.90 (+0.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,975.50 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -6.5 bps to yield 1.787{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
8:19 a.m. ET: Bed Bath & Beyond shares soar by more than 90{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after activist Ryan Cohen discloses nearly 10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} stake
Ryan Cohen’s investment firm RC Ventures disclosed a 9.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} stake in Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) on Monday, sending shares of the retailer soaring by more than 90{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in pre-market trading.
Cohen, the co-founder of Chewy and chairman of GameStop, also wrote a letter to the board of Bed Bath & Beyond calling for a sweeping set of operational changes and for the board to consider alternatives including a full sale of the company. Cohen was also critical of the compensation of its top executives even as the company experienced share price declines and market share losses.
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7:40 a.m. ET Monday: Stocks head for a sharply lower open
Here’s where stocks were trading Monday morning:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -47.75 points (-1.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,279.50
Dow futures (YM=F): -365.00 points (-1.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,218.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -177.5 points (-1.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,662.25
Crude (CL=F): +$7.66 (+6.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $123.34 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$25.40 (+1.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,992.00 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +5.5 bps to yield 1.777{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – MARCH 04: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on March 04, 2022 in New York City. The Dow fell over 300 points in morning trading despite a positive jobs report as the war in Ukraine continues to worry investors. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Another likely red-hot inflation reading and a handful of key corporate earnings results are on tap for investors this week, offering further catalysts after the past several weeks’ volatility across risk assets.
On the economic data front, Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to be the most closely watched print. Investors have been anxiously awaiting signs of a peak in inflation — and to that end, the incoming data is unlikely to offer this payoff.
Consensus economists are looking for the headline CPI to accelerate to show a 7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} year-over-year increase, rising further from January’s 7.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise, according to Bloomberg consensus data. Such a result would set a fresh 40-year high rate of inflation. And even excluding volatile food and energy prices, the CPI is likely to rise 6.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, compared to January’s 6.0{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase.
The month-over-month data are also expected to keep climbing. Economists are looking for a 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} monthly rise in the broadest measure of February CPI, marking 21 consecutive months of advances following January’s 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise.
The latest CPI report will begin to capture the only very early impacts to prices from Russia’s war in Ukraine, with a full-scale invasion taking place in late February. Concerns that this geopolitical conflict would disrupt the energy complex in Ukraine or Russia — the world’s third-largest oil producer — have sent U.S. crude oil prices soaring above $110 per barrel to a more than decade high.
Cropped shot of young woman carrying a shopping basket, standing along the product aisle, grocery shopping for daily necessities in supermarket
And other recent economic data have also suggested prices continued to climb across the U.S. economy. The Institute for Supply Management’s February services index from late last week showed prices climbed compared to January, and that surveyed businesses “continue to be impacted by supply chain disruptions, capacity constraints, inflation, logistical challenges and labor shortages.” And in last week’s jobs report from the Labor Department, average hourly wage gains came in well-above pre-pandemic trends with an annual rise of 5.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, albeit while coming down slightly compared to January’s 5.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} jump.
Even ahead of the upcoming CPI inflation data and latest jobs report, key Federal Reserve officials have already signaled the central bank was set to move on raising interest rates following its mid-March meeting. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said last week he would back a 25 basis point interest rate hike this month. While lower than the turbo-charged 50 basis point hike some market participants had been anticipating beforehand, such a move would set off the process of raising borrowing costs across markets and help bring down demand to in turn push down prices.
“As prices rise, you’re on the demand curve, and people demand less. I think what the Fed is hoping is that there are some other channels in the global economy that will manifest themselves and help bring inflation down,” Nathan Sheets, Citi global chief economist, told Yahoo Finance. “And some of the factors the Fed has pointed to in its minutes — one is some further progress on supply-chain disruptions. Another one is further progress on a reduction in commodity prices. And I have to say given what I’m seeing at the moment, both of those seem quite remote.”
“Now a third one that is maybe a little more hopeful is, as we make progress in better managing the pandemic … it will allow a rebalancing from this red-hot, commodity-intensive goods sector more into the services sector and allow some of these goods prices that have been so elevated and rising quickly [to] come off the boil a bit,” he added. “The Fed has its fingers crossed that these things are going to come through and be supportive of lower inflation in addition to that demand destruction channel.”
Rivian earnings, Q4 reporting season comes to end
While the vast majority of S&P 500 companies have now reported fourth-quarter earnings results, a handful of closely watched newly public companies are still set to offer results this week.
One will be Rivian (RIVN), the Amazon- and Ford-backed electric vehicle firm that went public in November in the sixth-largest IPO in U.S. history and the largest of last year. Shares have since fallen by more than 50{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the year-to-date, however, amid a broad rotation out of growth and technology stocks.
IMAGE DISTRIBUTED FOR RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE, LLC – Rivian R1T all-electric truck in Times Square on listing day, on Wednesday, Nov. 10, 2021 in New York. (Ann-Sophie Fjello-Jensen/AP Images for Rivian Automotive, LLC)
All told, Rivian is expected to post revenue of nearly $64 million when it reports results Thursday after market close. Net losses are expected to come in at $1.8 billion, compared to the $1.2 billion posted in the third quarter.
Results from Rivian as well as other reports this week including Bumble (BMBL), StitchFix (SFIX) and Oracle (ORCL) will come at the end of a fourth-quarter earnings season that has so far been solid across the board for most S&P 500 companies. While these results capture the period before the geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the uncertainty over the global economic landscape that has ensued, the earnings have signaled solid momentum in corporate profitability heading into the new year.
“Q4 earnings season, while clearly prior to all of what we’re seeing right now, came in well ahead of expectations, and we saw really strong positive revisions, and positive guidance for 2022. Q1 is definitely going to be a wild card,” Amanda Agati, PNC Asset Management Group chief investment officer, told Yahoo Finance Live. “We’re going to have to watch very, very carefully for what happens with rising input costs, wage pressures, now we have the energy story coming into the equation. So I do think there is an element of risk to it, but I also think that the underlying fundamental story is pretty strong.”
Economic calendar
Monday: Consumer credit, January ($24.000 billion expected, $18.898 billion in December)
Tuesday: NFIB Small Business Optimism, February (97.4 expected, 97.1 in January); Trade balance, January (-$87.1 billion expected, -$80.7 billion in December); Wholesale inventories month-over-month, January final (0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} expected, 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in prior print)
Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended March 4 (-0.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} during prior week); JOLTS job openings, January (10.968 million expected, 10.925 million during prior week)
Thursday: Consumer Price Index month-over-month, February (0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} expected, 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in January); CPI excluding food and energy month-over-month, February (0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} expected, 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. in January); CPI year-over-year, February (7.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} expected, 7.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in January); CPI excluding food and energy year-over-year, February (6.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} expected, 6.0{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in January); Initial jobless claims, week ended March 5 (220,000 expected, 215,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended February 26 (1.476 million during prior week); Household change in net worth, 4Q ($2.4 trillion in 3Q); Monthly budget statement, February ($118.7 billion in January)
Friday: University of Michigan sentiment, March preliminary (62.5 expected, 62.8 in February)
Earnings calendar
Monday
No notable reports schedule for release
Tuesday
Before market open: Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS), Olaplex (OLPX)