Big-picture finance concepts can help inform personal money concerns, according to U-M business expert

Big-picture finance concepts can help inform personal money concerns, according to U-M business expert

Faculty Q&A

Nejat Seyhun

Nejat Seyhun

The subject matter of finance tends to recommend big-scale operations—stock markets, financial institutions and the like.

Nejat Seyhun, a professor of finance at the College of Michigan Ross University of Organization, has used decades considering about how the lessons of his field can also implement to unique economic problems, this sort of as choosing on faculty, shopping for a house and getting on personal debt.

Seyhun has collected his exploration-centered ideas and assistance into a new e-book, “Personal Finance for Each day Issues,” which fills a specialized niche involving self-aid is effective and finance textbooks. He shares some of his insights.

Most of us likely never implement finance principles in our everyday life. What can an common individual acquire from finding out to do this?

Every once in a though, we make major selections, and those people major decisions influence us for the relaxation of our lives. At what age do we get married? Who do we marry? Or the selection to go to university. This is a substantial selection, costing hundreds of hundreds of bucks, but we don’t utilize financial concepts to it.

The similar goes for other huge decisions—we obtain a property, we buy a automobile, we purchase a vacation place—but we don’t utilize economical ideas. Acquiring a holiday vacation dwelling generates a resource of inflexibility, considering the fact that we have to trip there each individual 12 months. It is crucial to feel about fiscal versatility.

My son is a young man fresh out of college. He just signed an employment contract, which dedicated him to a no-compete clause for 3 decades. You can bring your monetary perspective to that: What is the price tag of that signature?

Or you can contemplate factors like credit history card financial debt, how much we conserve, the place we preserve. Do we make use of tax-advantaged autos? A primary fiscal literacy can assist with retirement personal savings selections, way too.

I’m not stating finance will always give us all the solutions. Even if university does not make economical feeling for me, I could even now pick to pursue my passion, but at the very least I will do it in an educated way. Just about any massive notion, any huge conclusion that we make, could profit from a pretty simple level of economic literacy.

Just one essential thought in finance is the idea of danger. Why is this so significant in own cash choices?

Finance tells us at a really primary degree that we have to imagine about risk, comprehend what danger is, and think about how we may well deal with it. It fundamentally states that you just can’t just glimpse at the most probably end result and make conclusions on that foundation. You have to glance at the tail risk—that which is not likely but still possible—and you have to believe about how highly-priced people tails are.

Some quite advanced, thriving men and women have ignored the basic finance classes on danger. Some individuals put all their funds in a single stock, these as when companies give staff a discount on corporation stock and people today load up on it. Extremely basic ideas will inform us that is most likely not a superior strategy. Consider about what took place with Enron: Individuals dropped their lifetime price savings and their work at the similar time.

Every thing is topic to possibility, and finance provides us a framework to deal with it in a acceptable way. It doesn’t have all the solutions. It depends on how we come to feel about risk, and what our personal hazard tolerance is. But finance at the very least gives us that framework.

A single of your critical points is that “the necessary route to money safety is to postpone avoidable paying.” That tends to make a good deal of sense, but we often have hassle with it. What will make this these kinds of a potent concept?

That is a seriously uncomplicated plan that I see most persons in The united states dismiss and then regret later on in their lives. We have a Turkish stating: “Stretch your legs according to the length of your blanket.” If your blanket is smaller, it’ll even now heat you up, if you tuck your ft in.

That easy lesson we disregard. We are always striving to impress people today with our wealth and our energy, by investing income, by showing off our possessions, our significant property and our major diamond ring and our model-new car. But that arrives at the cost of our foreseeable future comfort and peace of head.

A lot of people obtain them selves with excellent careers, generating 6-figure incomes, not currently being equipped to make finishes meet up with due to the fact they invest much too significantly dollars. We stay in a culture of affluence, but regretably, when we get rid of our careers, when some accident takes place and our well being deteriorates and we never have insurance policy, it can bankrupt any one of us.

We really don’t have to obtain a new car, we do not have to go to a cafe each and every working day and have a $5 cup of coffee. Individuals things increase up. If we do not enjoy those things, then we have a wedding day and expend $30,000 or more—if you as an alternative leave that income for 40 several years, you can retire on that cash. Sad to say, we never consider of these trade-offs. The idea that we need to hold off gratification is shed.

You make a persuasive circumstance for investing in the inventory marketplace, in certain in diversified money. Yet some folks could wait to do so since of the volatility that they see from day to working day in the industry. Why must we not fear about that?

Right before we make investments, we have to say: “All right, what is my soreness stage? What is my hazard tolerance?” No one can inform us that, besides ourselves. We have to say: “Look, if I reduce fifty percent the funds, how am I going to feel about this?”

There’s basically a identify for that, “freaking out.” If you are gonna freak out with a 50{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} drop, that money does not belong in the inventory market. This is the 1st lesson I notify my pupils: “Look at oneself in the mirror and solution the question, ‘What will freak you out?’” Only then you can begin to invest in the inventory market place. You’re investing for the very long expression.

What is an additional vital lesson you hope men and women will choose absent?

There’s a quite essential lesson in finance: Charges replicate info. When I appear at a price tag, I should study from it. I shouldn’t think that the million or billion people whose interactions led to that cost are idiots.

Once I fully grasp that rates are educational, that qualified prospects to quite a few lessons. I’m not going to drop for frauds, to start with of all. We all get these presents and wonderful bargains. A quite simple lesson in finance is, “If it appears also very good to be true, it is way too great to be legitimate.” Ignore about it. Don’t get even tempted.

An additional lesson is there are explanations for the rates that we see. Why is this property marketing at a lower price? There have to be a thing improper with it. In an effective marketplace, that price tag is telling you a little something. So we need to have to study from the cost.

Prepared by Bob Needham, Ross Faculty of Small business

Chinese Anti-Virus Lockdowns Add to Concerns Over Economy | Business News

Chinese Anti-Virus Lockdowns Add to Concerns Over Economy | Business News

By JOE McDONALD, AP Company Author

BEIJING (AP) — China’s lockdowns of big cities to combat coronavirus outbreaks are prompting concern about much more disruptions to international industries after two makers of processor chips said their factories were influenced.

That has added to unease about the omicron variant’s global economic impact. Analysts warn Vietnam, Thailand and other international locations crucial to production chains could impose anti-disorder actions that would hold off deliveries.

“Lockdowns in China are previously causing disruptions,” economists at Nomura mentioned in a report Friday.

The Chinese overall economy currently was cooling underneath stress from unrelated official efforts to pressure authentic estate developers and other providers to decrease surging debt that fueled China’s boom above the previous two a long time.

Political Cartoons

The largest city in China’s most current lockdowns is Xi’an, a metropolis of 13 million individuals in the west. It is much less major as a maker than Wuhan, the central metropolis that shut down in 2020 just after the first coronavirus cases ended up spotted there. But Xi’an has factories that make processor chips for smartphones, vehicle elements and other goods for world-wide and Chinese manufacturers.

Samsung Electronics and Micron Technologies Ltd. say their factories in Xi’an are affected but they are making an attempt to limit disruptions by drawing on world wide output networks. Micron claimed some deliveries may possibly be delayed.

Individuals factories make DRAM and NAND memory chips utilised in smartphones, particular computer systems and solutions.

Xi’an accounts for 42{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of Samsung’s NAND creation and 15{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of world wide provide, in accordance to Shelly Jang of Fitch Scores. Samsung would make about one-3rd of these chips.

The lockdown “will negatively have an impact on NAND flash source, if it is prolonged even more,” Jang reported in an electronic mail. The predicament “adds far more uncertainty” to provides.

Authorities also have lower off obtain to pieces of Ningbo, south of Shanghai, just one of the world’s busiest ports. That is slowing freight handling and has the opportunity to increase previously substantial shipping and delivery costs.

Yuzhou, a metropolis of 1.2 million in the central province of Henan, was locked down Thursday. Obtain to Yongji in neighboring Shanxi province was suspended and mass tests ordered just after traces of the virus were being discovered at a teach station.

The ruling Communist Party’s intense controls on travel and business under a “zero-Covid strategy” that aims to retain the virus out of China have held figures of new bacterial infections somewhat lower.

On Friday, the federal government noted 174 new situations nationwide, 57 of them in Xi’an and 56 in Henan province.

In distinction to the United States and other governments that have attempted to limit the financial effect of anti-virus controls, the zero-Covid approach is imposing high expenses.

Beijing took the then-unprecedented stage of shutting down most the world’s second-largest financial system past yr to fight the virus. Financial advancement rebounded after factories, outlets and offices ended up permitted to reopen when the ruling party declared victory in excess of the virus in March. But scattered towns, cities and some particular person neighborhoods have faced far more short term lockdowns because then to stop outbreaks.

Financial growth previously was slowing soon after Beijing tightened controls on use of borrowed income by true estate builders. That brought about a slump in construction, a person of the most significant contributors to financial advancement.

Forecasters have lower their outlook for China’s financial development in the last quarter of 2021 to as lower as 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} over a 12 months earlier. That is down from the preceding quarter’s 4.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

Copyright 2022 The Affiliated Press. All legal rights reserved. This material may perhaps not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Stock futures climb after strong economic data helps ease Omicron concerns

Stock futures climb after strong economic data helps ease Omicron concerns

The S&P 500 closed at a record on Thursday in a pre-holiday rally along with the Dow and Nasdaq, buoyed by positive data that suggested the Omicron variant was less likely to lead to hospitalizations. The indexes recouped losses from earlier this week after investors shrugged off worries the variant would stunt economic recovery.

The S&P closed at an all time high of 4,725.72, while the Dow ended the week just shy of 36,000. The Nasdaq Composite also closed 130 points up, or 0.85{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

“One of the ways pandemics end is significant mutation of the virus. It looks like Omicron may be our friend in that regard, significant mutations different enough from the parent that it doesn’t make people as sick,” True Health Initiative President Dr. David Katz told Yahoo Finance Live.

In other positive news on the COVID-19 front, Merck (MRK) received authorization from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for its at-home COVID-19 drug, just one day after Pfizer (PFE) was also approved for use of its own treatment.

The pill developed by Merck in conjunction with Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, called molnupiravir, was shown to reduce hospitalizations and deaths by around 30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in clinical trial data. Pfizer’s pill was reported to be 90{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} effective at preventing hospitalizations and deaths in high-risk patients.

Shares of Merck closed down 0.54{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in early trading at $75.75 a piece, while Pfizer’s stock closed at $58.66 per share, down 1.49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

Investors weighed a trove of economic releases ahead of the holiday weekend.

The Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims totaled 205,000, sustaining a downward trend from the highs of their pandemic peak and reflecting labor market tightness brought on by a demand for workers heading into the new year. The latest print brings the four-week moving average for new claims to its lowest in 52 years, ticking up by 2,750 week-over-week to reach 206,250.

Meanwhile, U.S. consumer prices accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly four decades as shoppers confront rising inflation levels ahead of the holidays.

“Workers have a lot of power, and that’s likely to result in continued wage gains,” Girard chief investment officer Timothy Chubb told Yahoo Finance. “What worries us from an inflation standpoint is, at what point do we potentially see some of those inflation risks sort of hand the baton to the labor market?”

Meanwhile, November sales of new U.S. homes jumped 12.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to a seven-month high of 744,000, buoyed by low mortgage rates and higher demand in the housing industry.

U.S. durable goods orders rose by 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, up from the prior month, boosted by a sharp rise in aircraft orders.

In Wednesday’s trading session, investors weighed an upbeat print on consumer confidence levels and the release of an upwardly revised estimate for domestic GDP, placing all three major averages in the green after a mixed open.

The Conference Board reported consumer confidence increased by a greater-than-expected margin in December, with the headline index at 115.8 during the month and higher than Bloomberg’s consensus estimates of 111.0. In November, the index had a reading of 111.9, revised from an initial report of 109.5. Meanwhile, the nation’s gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in the third quarter in the final estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis after the initial report of 2.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

“We’ve been saying that this is definitely a buy the dip sort of market because we expect more earnings upgrades to come,” Anik Sen, PineBridge Investments global head of equities told Yahoo Finance Live. “We think that the real debate should be about the length and strength of the economic cycle ahead.”

Thursday’s market gains may be the start of the year-end Santa Claus Rally — one in which stocks climb higher in the final seven trading sessions of a year, plus the first two trading days of the new year. Starting today, traders are looking to see whether nearly a century of data will uphold.

For reasons unclear, over the past 92 years, the S&P 500 gained 77{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the time during the year-end rally period, according to data from Sundial Capital Research. The average gain in this nine-day trading period tallied 2.66{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

4:00 p.m. ET: S&P 500 closes at a record

Here were the main moves as markets closed ahead of the Christmas weekend:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +29.16 (+0.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,725.72

  • Dow (^DJI): +196.57 (+0.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,950.46

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +131.48 (+0.85{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,653.37

  • Crude (CL=F): +$1.13 (+1.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.89 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$7.90 (+0.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,810.10 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.6 bps to yield 1.4930{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

12:32 p.m. ET: S&P 500 climbs to new high

Here were the main moves during intraday trading:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +32.83 (+0.70{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,729.39

  • Dow (^DJI): +230.23 (+0.64{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,984.12

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +128.35 (+0.83{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,650.25

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.92 (+1.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.68 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$6.80 (+0.38{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,809.00 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.6 bps to yield 1.4930{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

10:21 a.m. ET: New homes sales rise to highest since April

November sales of new U.S. homes jumped 12.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to a seven-month high. The Census Bureau reported that new home sales rose 82,000 last month from October to 744,000, buoyed by low mortgage rates and higher demand in the housing industry.

Forecast ranged between 737,000-850,000 across 51 estimates, with a median of 770,000, according to Bloomberg data.

The median sales price of a new home sold in November was $416,900, 14.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} higher than a year ago.

9:30 a.m. ET: Markets open higher following economic releases

Here were the main moves in markets at open Thursday morning:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +10.69 (+0.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,707.25

  • Dow (^DJI): +102.67 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,856.56

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +180.81 (+1.18{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,521.89

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.12 (+0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $72.88 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.30 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,807.50 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.5 bps to yield 1.4620{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

9:07 a.m. ET: Consumer prices accelerate, while spending slows

U.S. consumer prices accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly four decades. The Commerce Department reported an increase of 5.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} over the past 12 months, reflecting the fastest gain in 39 years as shoppers confront rising inflation levels ahead of the holidays. 

Meanwhile, personal spending rose 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, a slowdown from last month’s print of 1.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The figure, which accounts for 70{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of economic activity, comes amid the latest wave of COVID-19 cases, hinting at the possibility of a broader economic slowdown. 

Personal incomes rose 0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, down slightly from the 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in October.

8:42 a.m. ET: Durable goods orders beat expectations

U.S. durable goods orders rose by 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, up from the prior month, boosted by a sharp rise in aircraft orders.

Core capital goods orders, a measure of business investment in equipment that excludes aircraft and military hardware, fell 0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after an upwardly revised 0.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in October, according to Bloomberg.

The median Bloomberg estimates projected a 0.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in core capital goods orders and a 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise in total durables bookings.

8:30 a.m. ET: First-time unemployment filings remain at pre-pandemic levels

Initial jobless claims remained at pre-pandemic lows, sustaining a downward trend from the highs of their coronavirus peak and reflecting labor market tightness brought on by a demand for workers heading into the new year.

The Labor Department reported on Thursday that new initial jobless claims totaled 205,000 for the week ending December 18, on par with consensus estimates. The latest print brings the four-week moving average for new claims to its lowest in 52 years, ticking up by 2,750 week-over-week to reach 206,250.

“The direction in the labor market recovery remains positive, with demand still strong,” Rubeela Farooqi, chief economist for High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note. “Labor shortages are persisting, preventing a stronger recovery, although these appeared to ease somewhat in November.”

7:00 a.m. ET: Contracts on Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq edge higher ahead of open

Here’s how markets were moving in early trading on Thursday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +13.75 points (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,699.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +107.00 points (+0.30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,739.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +34.75 points (+0.21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 16,204.50

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.20 (+0.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $72.96 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.20 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,807.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.08 bps to yield {1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} 130.66

6:01 p.m. Wednesday ET: Stock futures flat ahead of overnight trading

Here’s how markets were moving in late trading on Wednesday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +4.00 points (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,690.00

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +19.00 points (+0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,651.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +11.05 points (+0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 16,181.25

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.30 (+0.41{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.06 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$3.00 (+0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,805.20 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.06 bps to yield {1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} 161.4375

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Stocks sink amid virus concerns, Manchin’s blow to Build Back Better

Stocks sink amid virus concerns, Manchin’s blow to Build Back Better

Stocks fell on Monday at the start of a holiday-shortened week of trading, with investors considering renewed virus-related restrictions overseas and prospects that a significant social policy bill may be scuttled. 

The S&P 500, Dow Nasdaq each dropped by nearly 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} during intraday trading. Treasury yields fell as investors piled into safe haven assets, and the benchmark 10-year yield held below 1.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, spiked more than 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to hover above 25. 

U.S. crude oil prices sank 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to trade below $69 per barrel as restrictions mounted in Europe, stoking jitters around energy demand. Countries from Germany to Ireland imposed curfews or travel restrictions in recent days given the rapidly spreading new variant. And the Netherlands over the weekend announced a nationwide lockdown of non-essential stores, bars and restaurants until Jan. 14. As of this weekend, the Omicron variant had been reported in about 89 countries, with cases doubling every 1.5 to 3 days. 

Renewed fears over the economic impact of the Omicron variant compounded with last week’s concerns for investors around the prospects of tighter monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve accelerating its rate of asset-purchase tapering and signaling three interest rate hikes could be coming next year. Last week, each of the three major indexes posted steep weekly losses. The Nasdaq Composite fell 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and the S&P 500 and Dow each dropped by nearly 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the week. 

Still, other updates around the effect of current COVID-19 vaccines on the variant were more upbeat. Moderna (MRNA) said Monday that a booster, or a third dose, of its shot increased Omicron neutralizing antibody levels. This echoed results from Pfizer (PFE) and BioNTech (BNTX) from earlier this month about the effectiveness of their vaccine’s third dose on neutralizing Omicron. Shares of Moderna gained more than 7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} ahead of the opening bell. 

Investors also digested the unexpected news that Senator Joe Manchin (D., W. Va.) would not support President Joe Biden’s $1.75 trillion Build Back Better social policy bill. Manchin, speaking on Fox News Sunday, said he had discussed with Democratic House and Senate leaders and Biden, but was unable to come to an agreement on the bill given concerns about inflation, the national debt and ongoing pandemic. 

White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki released a statement calling Manchin’s comments “a sudden and inexplicable reversal in his position,” and said the administration would work to move forward with the legislation next year. 

Still, Goldman Sachs this weekend slashed its quarter GDP forecasts for 2022 following Manchin’s withdrawal of support for the bill. The economists, led by Jan Hatzius, said they expected the “fiscal impulse will be somewhat more negative” than previously expected next year, in absence of the spending on social and climate-related policies included in the bill. The firm lowered its U.S. GDP forecast to 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the first quarter of 2022, to 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from 3.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the second quarter, and to 2.75{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the third quarter. 

4:04 p.m. ET: Stocks end lower amid renewed Omicron concerns: Dow drops 433 points, or 1.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:04 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -52.61 (-1.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,568.03

  • Dow (^DJI): -433.28 (-1.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 34,932.16

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -188.74 (-1.24{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,980.94

  • Crude (CL=F): -$2.20 (-3.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $68.66 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$15.50 (-0.86{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,789.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +1.7 bps to yield 1.4190{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

11:41 a.m. ET: Stocks extend losses, Dow drops nearly 700 points

The three major indexes extended losses heading into the afternoon session, building on overnight declines as virus-related concerns flared anew. 

The Dow dropped more than 650 points, or about 1.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, shortly before noon in New York. The Nasdaq declined by just over 1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, and the S&P 500 was also down about 1.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. 

All 11 major sectors were in the red in the S&P 500, with the cyclical energy, financials and materials sectors leading the way lower. Consumer staples, utilities and healthcare outperformed, though these sectors were also lower during the session.

In the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Goldman Sachs, The Travelers Cos. and Caterpillar underperformed. 

10:28 a.m. ET: Oracle plans to buy Cerner Corp. for $28.3 billion in largest-ever acquisition for software giant 

Oracle (ORCL) announced on Monday it planned to buy Cerner Corp., an electronic medical records company, for $28.3 billion. This would be the largest-ever deal for Oracle. 

The deal is expected to close next year, and would give Oracle access to Cerner’s trove of software used to record healthcare data electronically. Cerner shareholders will receive $95 in cash for each share held, which marks a premium of nearly 6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} compared to Friday’s closing prices for the stock. 

Oracle shares were down by 2.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} following the announcement, underperforming the broader market during the session. Oracle shares were up 49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the year-to-date through Friday’s close. 

9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks open lower

Here’s where markets opened Monday morning: 

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -61.45 points (-1.33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,559.19

  • Dow (^DJI): -454.32 points (-1.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 34,911.12

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -237.69 points (-1.53{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,942.55

  • Crude (CL=F): -$3.10 (-4.37{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $67.76 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$7.10 (-0.39{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,797.80 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -1.7 bps to yield 1.385{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

7:45 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures point to a sharply lower open

Here’s where markets were trading as of Friday morning ahead of the opening bell:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -52.25 points (-1.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,557.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): -366 points (-1.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 34,886.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -208.5 points (-1.32{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,579.50

  • Crude (CL=F): -$2.20 (-3.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $68.66 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$6.50 (-0.36{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,798.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -1.7 bps to yield 1.385{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Photo by: NDZ/STAR MAX/IPx 2021 12/16/21 Atmosphere at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 16, 2021 in New York.

Photo by: NDZ/STAR MAX/IPx 2021 12/16/21 Atmosphere at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 16, 2021 in New York.

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter

Asian Shares Mixed on China Developer, Virus Concerns | Business News

Asian Shares Mixed on China Developer, Virus Concerns | Business News

By YURI KAGEYAMA, AP Small business Author

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares had been blended Friday amid worries in excess of troubled Chinese real estate developer Evergrande and in excess of the pandemic.

Japan’s benchmark jumped after reopening from Thursday’s nationwide vacation, but shares have been minor transformed in South Korea and China.

On Wall Road, shares rose broadly for a second day in a row, reversing losses for the 7 days. Buyers were pleased to have gotten some clarity from the Federal Reserve a day earlier that it was not on the verge of raising fascination charges.

Evergrande Group’s announcement that it was generating a payment because of Thursday has assisted to ease worries over whether or not it may possibly default on its enormous credit card debt obligations.

Political Cartoons

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 jumped 1.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in the morning session to 30,200.89. South Korea’s Kospi inched up a lot less than .1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 3,128.57. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 slipped .4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 7,338.50. Hong Kong’s Hold Seng additional .2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 24,559.31, whilst the Shanghai Composite lost practically .1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 3,639.88.

Masayuki Tsunashima of Mizuho Lender warned pitfalls remained for markets from the likely problems at Evergrande. Prolonged coronavirus outbreaks also pose risks, he explained.

“So, it are unable to be dominated out that optimism remains fragile or, at the extremely the very least opportunistic as underlying dangers have only not been tackled, significantly much less set to mattress,” he said. “And this is consistent with marketplaces remaining vulnerable to volatility and damaging shocks.”

On Wall Avenue, shares rose for the second straight day, reversing the sharp pullback at the begin of the week. The S&P 500 rose 1.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 4,448.98. More than 85{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of companies in the benchmark index notched gains.

The Dow gained 1.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 34,764.82, though the Nasdaq rose 1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 15,052.24. The Russell 2000 rose 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 2,259.04. It’s up 1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the week.

The rally put the big indexes on speed for weekly gains just four days soon after a broad sell-off on Monday handed the S&P 500 its biggest skid because Might and knocked the Dow more than 600 details reduced.

The market’s sharp swings mirror how immediately investor sentiment can change. With the market hovering in close proximity to all-time highs, traders are likely to see waves of providing as acquiring options.

Traders had been emotion uneasy about how swiftly the U.S. Federal Reserve could possibly elect to rein in some of the assistance measures it’s been providing the markets and financial system. All those anxieties have been allayed by Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve signaled it wouldn’t begin considering these types of a tapering of assistance ahead of at least November, and indicated it may perhaps commence raising its benchmark curiosity rate sometime upcoming 12 months.

“The previous handful of times have just been this recognition that all the items that were becoming talked about, the market has shrugged them off,” claimed Michael Antonelli, handling director and sector strategist at Baird, noting that the S&P 500 is only about 1.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} underneath its all-time higher set before this month.

“The market place was just ripe for a provide-off,” on Monday, Antonelli stated. “We however have not had a 5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} pullback from the highs however this 12 months.”

The Fed reported it will possible begin slowing the tempo of month-to-month bond buys manufactured through the pandemic to support preserve borrowing costs minimal “soon” if the overall economy retains enhancing.

“The reality is that the Fed is heading to err on facet of not tightening something on inflation until they totally have to,” stated Brent Schutte, main expense strategist, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company.

Even now, marketplaces have had a tough September and investors could be in for a lot more choppiness, Schutte said.

“People received so employed to a one particular-way sector,” he stated. “It’s likely to be far more of two-way market and traders have to have to get applied that, but I however imagine the trend is greater.”

In electricity investing, benchmark U.S. crude oil fell 27 cents to $73.03 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It acquired $1.07 to $73.30 a barrel on Thursday.

Brent crude, the international standard, lost 24 cents to $77.01 a barrel.

In currency trading, the U.S. greenback rose to 110.39 Japanese yen from 110.31 yen. The euro price tag $1.1744, up from $1.1740.

AP Enterprise Writers Damian J. Troise and Alex Veiga contributed.

Copyright 2021 The Linked Push. All legal rights reserved. This content may perhaps not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Stocks fall for a third straight session, with inflation concerns lingering

Stocks fall for a third straight session, with inflation concerns lingering

Stocks fell on Tuesday in another choppy session, with investors eyeing elevated commodity prices and other signs of inflation heading into corporate earnings season.

The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq each posted a third consecutive day of declines. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil futures hovered near a seven-year high, with supply constraints and elevated fuel demand pushing prices higher over the past seven consecutive weeks. Outside of oil, aluminum prices also edged lower after reaching their highest level since 2008 on Monday, and copper prices turned lower after a near 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} jump. 

For investors, the recent, broad rise in commodity prices has threatened to exert further pressure on corporate margins. Companies have already been grappling with a host of supply-side challenges, including port congestion and labor scarcities, that are expected to drag on profit growth heading into third-quarter earnings season later this week and over the next month. The Labor Department’s August Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey — due for release Tuesday morning — showed workplace vacancies held near a record high at the end of the summer. 

And rising interest rates have also raised the specter of higher borrowing costs for companies, with the 10-year yield holding near its highest level since June. 

“We’re definitely freaked out about crude oil prices … [and] about slightly higher interest rates,” David Bailin, Citi Private Bank chief investment officer, told Yahoo Finance. “But we have to put all of this in context. First of all, interest rates have been abnormally low. Energy prices are high due to excessive demand right now and delivery shortages across Europe and now in China … These things will abate. We think it’ll take somewhere between three and nine months for energy supplies and for the shipping issues to abate.”

Other strategists also suggested that investors look through the near-term supply-related challenges facing the markets.

“We’re going to have supply issues for a little bit longer here, but I think that’ll just work its way through,” Jeremy Bryan, portfolio manager for Gradient Investments, told Yahoo Finance Live on Monday. “The nice part about the U.S. economy and markets in general is they usually follow what the U.S. consumer does, and the U.S. consumer wants to spend. And that’s why we’re still positive on the markets.” 

4:10 p.m. ET: Stocks fall for third straight session: Dow drops 118 points, or 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:10 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): -10.54 (-0.24{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,350.65

  • Dow (^DJI): -117.72 (-0.34{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 34,378.34

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -20.28 (-0.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,465.93

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.01 (+0.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $80.53 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.90 (+0.34{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,761.60 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -3.4 bps to yield 1.5800{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

1:04 p.m. ET: Micron shares sink after research firm predicts chip price decline this year

Shares of Micron Technology (MU) dropped by more than 4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} Tuesday afternoon, tracking toward its worst day in two months after the market research firm TrendForce said it expected DRAM memory chip prices to decline in the fourth quarter this year, in a move that would undercut sales to Micron and other major chipmakers. 

Peer chipmakers also sank Tuesday afternoon following the report. Western Digital Corp. (WDC) shares fell by more than 3.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, while Texas Instruments (TXN) sank by 2.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

11:49 a.m. ET: Elevated job openings another sign that ‘demand in America for goods and services is off the charts’: Economist

The jump in job openings in August reaffirmed the pronounced supply and demand mismatches in the labor market as the economic recovery rolls on. And coupled with two consecutive months of disappointing payroll gains, the jobs data is signaling a tighter labor market than many policymakers have acknowledged, according to at least one economist.

“We have never seen an economy in recovery from recession move this quickly from job firings to job hirings,” Chris Rupkey, FWDBonds chief economist, wrote in an email Thursday morning. “There are help-wanted posters in every shop window on Main Street, and the lack of workers is exacerbating the supply disruptions throughout the nation that is lighting a match to the fire of inflation.”

“Job openings of over ten million when the official jobless count behind the 4.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} unemployment rate of 7.674 million can only mean that demand in America for goods and services is off the charts,” he added. “Don’t ask when the economy will create more jobs because the jobs are out there and waiting for the unemployed right now.”

Still, other economists said the dip in August job openings suggested the Delta variant’s spread did at least temporarily dent demand among employers for workers.

“The slowdown in August is noteworthy, but it’s not a total reversal of fortune,” Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab director of research, wrote in an email. “The job openings rate is at a level that would have been an all-time high if not for July’s numbers. And the quits rate is over 25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} higher than its pre-pandemic level. Demand for workers remains strong and workers have plenty of options.”

10:02 a.m. ET: Job openings pulled back slightly from record in August, while quits rate jumps to all-time high 

U.S. job openings fell by a greater-than-expected margin in August but were revised up to a fresh record high for July, underscoring the widespread demand for labor across the recovering economy. 

Job openings fell to 10.439 million as of the last day of August, according to the Labor Department’s latest report. In July, job openings were at 11.098 million, with this sum upwardly revised from the 10.934 million previously reported. Consensus economists were looking for job openings to total 10.954 million in August, according to Bloomberg data. 

Some of the biggest decreases in job openings were in healthcare and social assistance industries, which posted a combined drop of 224,000 vacancies. Accommodation and food services job openings also fell by 178,000. 

The quits rate increased to a record high of 2.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} during the month, suggesting workers had growing confidence about their abilities to find new positions. Layoffs and discharges, meanwhile, took place at a 0.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rate, which was little changed on a month-over-month basis and below a pre-pandemic average of 1.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} throughout 2019. 

9:31 a.m. ET: Stocks open higher 

Here’s where markets were trading just after the opening bell Tuesday morning:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +10.81 points (+0.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,372.00

  • Dow (^DJI): +78.98 points (+0.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 34,575.05

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +29.5 points (+0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,508.83

  • Crude (CL=F): -$0.17 (-0.21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $80.35 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$6.40 (+0.36{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,762.10 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.5 bps to yield 1.612{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

9:23 a.m. ET: IMF downgrades global economic growth outlook for 2021 as virus weighs on activity

The International Monetary Fund trimmed its outlook for global economic growth in new projections released Tuesday, with the institution citing an ongoing drag from the coronavirus.

The IMF’s new forecast is for global economic activity to expand at a 5.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rate this year, down from the 6.0{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} pace seen in July. However, the IMF maintained its outlook for 4.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} growth next year. 

Emerging markets and developing economics, excluding China, are largely still grappling with fallout from the virus, and as a result, growth will likely remain 5.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} below pre-pandemic forecasts in 2024, “resulting in a larger setback to improvements in their living standards,” the IMF wrote in its report. Advanced economics, however, are expected to return to pre-pandemic trends in growth beginning next year.  

7:32 a.m. ET: Stock futures point to a slightly higher open 

Here’s where markets were trading Tuesday morning: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +4.5 points (+0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,355.5

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +13 points (+0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 34,389.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +43 points (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,743.50

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.45 (+0.52{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $80.94 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$7.70 (+0.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,763.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.9 bps to yield 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

7:30 a.m. ET Tuesday: A record share of small business owners reported job vacancies in September: NFIB 

Small business optimism fell more than expected in September compared to August, with supply chain disruptions and shortages weighing on owners’ outlooks. 

The National Federation of Independent Business’s Small Business Optimism Index edged down to 99.1 for September from 100.1 during the prior month. Consensus economists were looking for the index to come in at 99.5, according to Bloomberg data. 

A record share of 51{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of small business owners said they had job openings that could not be filled, according to the survey. This marked a third straight month with a fresh record high of this metric. Meanwhile, 42{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of owners said they raised compensation during the month, which was also a record high.

“Small business owners are doing their best to meet the needs of customers, but are unable to hire workers or receive the needed supplies and inventories,” NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said in a press statement. “The outlook for economic policy is not encouraging to owners, as lawmakers shift to talks about tax increases and additional regulations.”

In terms of inventories, more than 35{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of small business owners said supply chain disruptions were having a “significant impact” on their firms, while 32{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} reported a “moderate impact” and 21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} said they experienced a “mild impact.” 

6:10 p.m. ET Monday: Stock futures edge lower 

Here’s where markets were trading Monday evening:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -2.25 points (-0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,348.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): -12 points (-0.03{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 34,364.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -6.5 points (-0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,694.00

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 29, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 29, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter