U.S. stocks tumbled Thursday as Wall Avenue reeled from an additional sizable rate hike by Federal Reserve officers and assessed similar moves by financial policymakers throughout the Atlantic. A disappointing looking at on customer paying out also lifted fears about the overall health of the U.S. financial system.
The European Central Bank and the Bank of England adopted the U.S. Fed in raising fascination fees by 50 basis details Thursday morning. The BoE’s hike brought charges in the country to their greatest considering that 2008. Indications from just about every of the banks that even further tightening is underway offset optimism above peaking inflation.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slid 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, while the Dow Jones Industrial Ordinary (^DJI) get rid of additional than 750 points, or 2.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, logging its worst working day in three months. The technologies-significant Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped 3.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
U.S. Treasury yields edged down, with the benchmark 10-year observe falling under 3.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The U.S. greenback index nudged increased, and oil selling prices slipped, with West Texes Intermediate (WTI) crude futures buying and selling all over $76 per barrel.
European Central Lender President Christine Lagarde echoed a hawkish tune from Fed Chair Jerome Powell following the monetary authority’s amount determination.
“Anybody who thinks that this is a pivot for the ECB is mistaken,” Lagarde reported in a information meeting. “We really should count on to raise fascination costs at a 50 basis-point speed for a interval of time.”
“We have far more floor to cover, we have longer to go and we are in for a prolonged video game,” she said.
In the meantime, the U.S. government’s retail profits report showed expending fell sharply in November as the critical vacation browsing year kicked off. The most recent retail gross sales looking through confirmed a decrease of .6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} over the prior month but a 6.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase from the very same interval past 12 months.
“Black Friday and holiday shopping weren’t adequate to help you save retail gross sales previous month as they decreased the most this calendar year and came in properly below anticipations,” Morgan Stanley’s Head of Product Portfolio Development Mike Loewengart mentioned in a take note.
“The buyer has been resilient amid hot inflation and mounting fees, but superior charges and talks of a economic downturn might have some now next guessing achieving for their wallet,” he additional. “It is been a fast paced week for investors with both equally the Fed and ECB increasing costs, so it shouldn’t be a shock to see a shaky sector.”
Whilst a slowdown in retail paying confirmed sings of economic weak point, a different economic launch out early Thursday underscored ongoing tightness in the labor market. Filings for unemployment insurance fell unexpectedly last 7 days to the cheapest considering that September. Preliminary jobless statements, the most well timed snapshot of the U.S. employment scenario, arrived in at 211,000 for the week finished Dec. 10, a lower of 11,000 from the former week’s revised stage, for each Labor Office info.
On the company front, Tesla (TSLA) stock steadied Thursday right after declines all 7 days, even as a regulatory submitting confirmed CEO Elon Musk marketed close to 21,995,000 shares of the business, or around $3.6 billion value, through the three-day time period ending Dec. 14. Shares of Tesla are down about 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in December so considerably and roughly 55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} year-to-day right after a sell-off of the electric powered-motor vehicle giant accelerated in latest days.
Shares of Lennar (LEN) also turned bigger after before losses adhering to earnings from the homebuilder late Wednesday that confirmed an 11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} bounce in fourth-quarter financial gain. Lennar shut up 3.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
The moves Thursday morning adhere to declines across the big averages in the prior trading session right after the Fed delivered a 50-basis-stage increase to its benchmark curiosity rate. Powell also emphasised that he and colleagues will proceed to lift prices in 2023 to an upwardly revised projected terminal rate of 5.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Wednesday’s half-proportion place hike, which introduced the Fed resources amount to a variety of 4.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}-4.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, did mark a slowdown from the 75-foundation-position increases at each individual of the Fed’s earlier 4 coverage meetings — the most intense stretch of hikes considering that the 1980s.
Despite a slowdown in the speed and magnitude of improves, Powell consistently asserted that the function by him and his colleagues to deal with stubbornly higher inflation was significantly from about.
Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell holds a information meeting pursuing the announcement that the Federal Reserve lifted desire prices by half a proportion level, at the Federal Reserve Constructing in Washington, U.S., December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein
“Now that we have raised fascination premiums 425 foundation factors this year and we’re into restrictive territory, it is now not so essential how quick we go — it is considerably extra important to feel, what is the greatest amount?” Powell mentioned in a press conference with reporters Wednesday. “At a particular issue, the dilemma will turn out to be, how very long do we continue being restrictive?”
The Fed’s “dot plot,” which displays estimates by policymakers for curiosity prices, showed expectations the federal money amount will raise in 2023 to concerning 5.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and 5.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and in 2024 to continue to be at a median rate of 4.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from a earlier estimated 3.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} – a adjust strategists place out is the most significant shock revision to the central bank’s outlook.
“These estimates are notably much more hawkish than their previous forecasts and ended up not trailed perfectly in progress as is ordinarily the circumstance with the Fed,” William Blair macro analyst Richard de Chazal mentioned in a observe.
—
Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Comply with her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc
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If there is everything to hang your hat on for the duration of the recent bear current market in stocks, it really is that longer phrase marketplaces are inclined to rebound extremely properly.
The S&P 500 has been greater three years later in eight out of nine situations in which the index has fallen 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} or much more from an all-time high going back again to 1957, in accordance to investigate from Truist co-main financial commitment officer Keith Lerner. Shares have returned on regular 29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} all through all those 8 cases.
Interestingly, stocks have also sharply regained ground a 12 months soon after falling 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} or a lot more from a higher. Lerner’s info displays the S&P 500 has enhanced 15{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on normal in the 7 occasions shares have tanked 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} or much more from a substantial courting again to 1957.
“Provided the vast selection of outcomes,” Lerner wrote in the note to customers, “our check out is that this is not the time to be intense, but we are also not advocating reducing equities for investors who are aligned with their extended-phrase fairness allocations. At this point, a good deal of the excesses have been wrung out.”
Shares frequently rally again right after major drops.
To Lerner’s level, traders have moved quickly this calendar year to re-value stocks amid sky-higher inflation and a Federal Reserve locked and loaded on interest charge hikes.
The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average are all getting their worst commences to a yr in several many years. Lerner factors out additional precisely that this is the third worst return at the halfway issue for marketplaces because 1950 and the weakest given that 1970.
Almost no places of the market have been spared from the bears’ tooth.
Development stocks these kinds of as Amazon, Tesla, and Netflix are all down more than 30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} so considerably in 2022. A relative safe-haven these types of as Apple is off by 18{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on the 12 months.
General, markets go on to be on economic downturn look at for the U.S., the world’s premier overall economy.
The bull sculpture symbolizing the increase of the current market (R) and the bear sculpture symbolizing its slide in Frankfurt am Key, western Germany, on December 28, 2020. (Photograph by ARMANDO BABANI/AFP by using Getty Illustrations or photos)
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow design is now predicting a 2.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} drop in Q2 U.S. economic output, which would meet up with the unofficial threshold for a recession when matched with the 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} drop in Q1.
“This is truly a definitely tough time to be imagining pretty long-expression,” BlackRock global allocation head of thematic technique Kate Moore stated on Yahoo Finance Are living (online video above). “We know that there are a remarkable range of crosscurrents ideal now in the market place. It is not just monetary policy and the toughness of inflation, but also kind of what is likely on geopolitically.”
Three many years from nowadays could not get in this article rapid adequate for traders.
Brian Sozzi is an editor-at-significant and anchor at Yahoo Finance. Stick to Sozzi on Twitter @BrianSozzi and on LinkedIn.
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U.S. stocks fell sharply on Tuesday to mark a bleak first day of March on Wall Street as investors weighed intensifying Russian attacks on Ukraine and the impact of Western sanctions on Moscow.
[Click here to read what’s moving markets heading into Wednesday, March 3]
The S&P 500 tumbled 1.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 4,306.19, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged nearly 600 points, or 1.77{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, to 33,293.96, marking its worst day since Feb. 17. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.59{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 13,532.46. Losses also hit the 10-year U.S. Treasury index, which slid to 1.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The declines build on the Dow and S&P 500’s worst start to year since 2020. The Nasdaq has also recorded its worst January and February since 2009.
Financials led losses on Tuesday, with the XLF experiencing its biggest losses since June 2020, down 3.66{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Meanwhile, WTI crude oil spiked as much as 10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to top $105 per barrel, marking its highest price since 2014 amid worries around a disruption in the energy sector.
As traders watch the war escalate overseas, in the U.S., they revert their attention back to the Federal Reserve and its plan to lift interest rates as soon as this month.
The worsening crisis in Ukraine has raised bets geopolitical uncertainty could knock the Federal Reserve off course for an aggressive first bump in interest rates. Investors have began pricing in a zero chance of a 50 basis point rate hike in March and minuscule chance of no increase at all.
Sky-high inflation prints month-over-month have previously elevated concerns among market participants that central bank officials will raise short-term borrowing costs more aggressively than expected to mitigate increasing prices, even stoking the possibility of a double interest rate hike of 50 basis points mid-March. But with ambiguity over how the Russia-Ukraine turmoil will pan out and potential economic disruptions, Fed watchers now anticipate the central bank may tread lightly on its rate hike.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver a monetary policy update before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday and appear in front of Senate Banking Committee members Thursday in meetings that could offer hints on the Fed’s position ahead of its March 16 policy-setting meeting.
“Given the current conflict in the Ukraine, there remains considerable near term uncertainty with central bank intentions,” LPL Financial strategists Lawrence Gillum and Ryan Detrick said in a note, adding that upward pressure on the prices of oil and other commodities and sanctions against Russia could result in broader economic repercussions. “As such, inflationary pressures may remain high particularly as it relates to gas prices.”
Still, LPL has priced in a first hike of 25 basis points this month — for now.
Russia’s economy has been in the limelight this week after a ramp up on penalties by the U.S. and European allies for its invasion of Ukraine rocked the country’s financial system and sent the ruble tumbling 30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on Monday. A trove of multinational companies severing business dealings with the country also mounted to the growing economic pressure on Moscow.
Measures by the U.S. and Europe, including a move to block some Russian banks from the SWIFT payment network and sanctions on the Central Bank of Russia, have already dealt a harder-than-expected blow to the country’s economy, testing a decades-long effort by President Vladimir Putin to make the system sanction-proof.
The U.S., European Commission, France, Germany, Italy, U.K. and Canada set forth a joint statement Saturday booting select Russian banks from the SWIFT messaging system, a network that works to facilitate trillions of dollars in global transactions.
On Monday, the U.S. also barred Americans from conducting business with the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federations and the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. Western financial institutions are expected to follow suit, with HSBC curbing its dealings with a docket of Russian banks including the second-largest, VTB.
The Russia-Ukraine crisis “is going to create enormous pain and hurt to the Russian economy,” Virginia Sen. Mark Warner told Yahoo Finance Live on Monday. “This is a much bigger economic hit than Putin anticipated.”
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4:00 p.m. ET: All three major benchmarks plunge to mark turbulent first day of March
Here were the main moves at Tuesday’s close:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -67.75 (-1.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,306.19
Dow (^DJI): -598.64 (-1.77{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 33,293.96
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -218.94 (-1.59{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,532.46
Crude (CL=F): +$8.69 (+9.08{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $104.41 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$47.10 (+2.48{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,947.80 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -13.2 bps to yield 1.7070{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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12:05 p.m. ET: Stocks plunge as Russia-Ukraine conflict rages
Here were the main moves in markets during midday trading
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -72.70 points (-1.66{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,301.24
Dow futures (YM=F): -696.50 points (-2.06{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 33,196.10
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -201.44 points (-1.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,549.96
Crude (CL=F): +$10.54 (+11.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1106.26 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$34.50 (+1.82{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,935.20 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -14.44 bps to yield 1.695{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
11:25 a.m. ET: Construction jumps during January despite higher costs
U.S. construction spending jumped in January amid strong outlays on single-family homebuilding and private nonresidential structures.
The Commerce Department reported a 1.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in construction spending and an upward revision on December data that reflected construction outlays rose 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} instead of the 0.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} initially reported.
Bloomberg consensus data showed economists were anticipating a 0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} uptake in spending.
Homebuilding remains under pressure from higher costs on building materials despite the surge in January. The National Association of Homebuilders said last month that building material production snafus were inflating construction prices and delaying projects.
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10:25 a.m. ET: US manufacturing activity regains traction
Manufacturing activity in the U.S. picked up more than expected during the month of February as COVID-19 infections fell. Hiring at factories, however, slowed, worsening supply chain disruptions and placing upward pressure on input prices.
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM)’s latest print on its index of national factory activity rose to a reading of 58.6 last month from 57.6 in January, which marked the lowest figure since November 2020.
A reading above 50 points to an expansion in manufacturing, which accounts for 11.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the U.S. economy. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg anticipated a print of 58.0.
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10:00 a.m. ET: Kohls rises on better-than-expected outlook
Kohl’s Corp. (KSS) missed analyst estimates for the fourth quarter but reported an upbeat revenue outlook for 2022 and said it will “build its momentum” this year.
The company saw a 13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} slip in fourth-quarter net income to $299 million for the quarter ended Jan. 29, 2022, down from $343 million in the same period a year ago.
While down on a quarterly basis, net annual income jumped to $938 million, compared to a loss of $163 million in the 2020 due to the pandemic. Earnings per share reached a record high of $7.33 in 2021.
Meanwhile, the company said it was engaging with unsolicited bidders. Kohls has been under pressure from activist investors including Macellum Advisors and Engine Capital to raise its shareholder value and improve financials, and also urged to consider spinning the company off into separate online and brick-and-mortar businesses, calls the retailer rejected.
Shares of Kohls were up 4.48{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to $58.11 a piece as of 9:59 a.m. ET.
SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA – JANUARY 24: The Kohl’s logo is displayed on the exterior of a Kohl’s store on January 24, 2022 in San Rafael, California. Retailer Kohl’s has received an unsolicited $9 billion takeover offer from activist investor Starboard Value through Acacia Research Corp. The offer is for $64 per share compared to the last closing price of $46.84 per share on Friday. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
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9:47 a.m. ET: Target surges at start of trading after earnings beat
Shares of Target (TGT) jumped 14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at open after the company reported a better-than expected outlook for its annual adjusted earnings per share.
The retailer smashed analysts’ profit forecasts for the fourth quarter as consumers sought out deals on apparel and food amid rising inflation.
“The quarter was driven by traffic. So that means consumers voted with their with their feet and their clicks and picked Target more often. So that’s an incredibly healthy sign for for our business,” Target CFO Michael Fiddelke said on Yahoo Finance Live.
Target was up 11.42{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to trade at $222.59 per share as of 9:47 a.m. ET.
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9:30 a.m. ET: US stocks hold steady as investors continue to monitor Russia, Ukraine
Here’s how markets opened for Tuesday’s trading session:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -11.34 points (-0.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,362.60
Dow futures (YM=F): -169.64 points (-0.50{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 33,722.96
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -46.40 points (-0.34{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 13,705.00
Crude (CL=F): +$5.39 (+5.63{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $101.11 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$19.50 (+1.03{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,920.20 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -6.0 bps to yield 1.779{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
7:00 a.m. ET: Futures decline as Russia’s attack on Ukraine enters sixth day
Here’s how contracts on Wall Street’s main benchmarks fared ahead of Tuesday’s open:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -38.00 points (-0.87{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,330.00
Dow futures (YM=F): -258.00 points (-0.76{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 33,582.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -132.25 points (-0.93{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,095.75
Crude (CL=F): +$3.75 (+3.92{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $99.47 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$22.70 (+1.19{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,923.40 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): 0.00 bps to yield 1.839{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
6:05 p.m. ET Monday: Stock futures hold steady as investors monitor Russia-Ukraine crisis
Here were the main moves in markets ahead of overnight trading Monday:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +3.75 points (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,371.75
Dow futures (YM=F): +20.00 points (+0.06{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 33,860.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -9.50 points (-0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,218.50
Crude (CL=F): +$0.16 (+0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $95.88 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$8.80 (+0.46{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,909.50 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -14.7 bps to yield 1.822{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki listens as Deputy National Security Advisor for international economics Daleep Singh gives an update on sanctions during a daily press briefing on the U.S. response after Russia launched a massive military operation against Ukraine, at the White House in Washington, U.S., February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Leah Millis
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Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc
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U.S. stocks were deep in the red on Thursday as Wall Street weighed another decades-high inflation print and remarks by St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard that signaled the central bank could intervene more aggressively than anticipated to tighten monetary conditions amid surging prices levels.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped a three-day winning streak closing down 500 points, or 1.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, after comments from Bullard, who said in an interview that he favors an interest rate increase of 100 basis points by July 1. The S&P 500 was down 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and the Nasdaq Composite, weighed down by losses in tech, shed 2.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. Meanwhile, the closely-watched 10-year Treasury note jumped to 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the first time since August 2019.
“I typically take the opinions of St. Louis Fed president Jim Bullard with a grain of salt because he has a history of being all over the map with his forecasts and thoughts,” Bleakley Advisory Group CIO Peter Boockvar said in a note. “He does though vote this year and thus is very relevant to pay attention to.”
U.S. inflation accelerated last month in the fastest rise since 1982, with prices across a wide range of goods and services soaring further amid lingering shortages and supply chain disruptions. Consensus economists were looking for a 7.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise, according to Bloomberg data.
“While inflation continued to overshoot the Fed’s target in January, fundamental drivers of inflation are starting to improve,” Comercia Bank chief economist Bill Adams said in a note. “Remember, a big part of the surge in prices was from shortages, and the economy is making big strides to reduce shortages.”
Quadratic Capital Management founder Nancy Davis echoed a similar point in post-CPI commentary.
“While inflation is weighing heavily on Federal Reserve policy decisions, our current inflationary environment is unconventional and is caused largely by supply chain disruptions, something the Federal Reserve cannot fix with tighter monetary policy,” Davis said.
The 10-year Treasury yield’s jump to 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} pressured technology stocks in Thursday’s trading session. Losses in heavyweights such as Apple (AAPL) (closed down 2.34 to $172.16 per share) and Alphabet (GOOG) (closed down 2.02{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to $22,772.05 per share) dragged down markets.
“Even though we see the yield curve start flattening, we are watching the 10-year very closely and the CPI number,” ERShares chief operating officer and chief investment strategist Eva Ados told Yahoo Finance Live on Wednesday, adding the three most significant facors in the data are costs associated with labor, food prices, and energy.
Ados said once the 10-year Treasury hits 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, “that will trigger a psychological level and more anxiety in markets.”
In the previous session, the indexes were lifted by an influx of strong corporate earnings. The Walt Disney Company (DIS), a component of the Dow, unveiled first quarter 2022 results after the bell on Wednesday that sharply beat estimates. Better than expected growth for the entertainment giant’s streaming service Disney+ and a recovery in theme park attendance sent shares up as much as 9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after the report. Uber (UBER) also posted results after market close, revealing quarterly revenue that topped analyst forecasts and indicated headwinds caused by the Omicron COVID surge have eased.
“Last year, it was all about ‘tell me the story and how great it is,’ while this year, it’s ‘show me the money and show me that you’re growing profitably — that you have cash flow,’” Satori Fund founder and portfolio manager Dan Niles told Yahoo Finance Live.
After a surprise shift by the Federal Reserve on how aggressively it would tighten monetary conditions rocked equities in January, investors have found relief in strong earnings over recent weeks. Bank of America said in its latest update that S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) are exceeding consensus expectations by 6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} so far for the latest quarter and tracking toward a growth rate of well over 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on a year-over-year basis.
But as earnings season winds down, investors will turn their attention back macroeconomic concerns, with special focus on Thursday’s inflation number — an annual CPI gain of 7.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} — at a 40-year high.
“We do think the focus shifts back to the macro side of the ledger this week,” Stuart Kaiser, UBS head of equity derivatives research, told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday, adding the European Central Bank and Bank of England are tightening monetary policy along with the Fed and a series of high inflation prints are expected in coming months. “When we put that all together, we don’t think the bumpy ride is over.”
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4:00 p.m. ET: Wall Street’s main indexes cap session in negative territory
Here were the main moves in markets at Thursday’s close:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -83.13 (-1.81{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,504.05
Dow (^DJI): -526.37 (-1.47{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,241.69
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -304.73 (-2.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,185.64
Crude (CL=F): +$0.21 (+0.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $89.87 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$8.90 (-0.48{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,827.70 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +10.2 bps to yield 2.0310{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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3:25 p.m. ET: Affirm plunges 33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after miss on revenue forecast
Buy now, pay later provider Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) reported a larger loss for its second fiscal quarter due to an increase in stock-based compensation following the company’s initial public offering.
In the three months ended Dec. 31, net loss attributable to common shareholders widened to $159.74 million, or 57 cents per share, from a loss of $26.61 million, or 38 cents per share, a year earlier.
Shares plunged as much as 33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in afternoon trading. Affirm was down 19.35{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to $60.23 per share as of 3:23p.m. ET.
Affirm also confirmed it mistakenly reported a portion of its second-quarter results ahead of schedule after a since-deleted tweet was sent from the company’s official Twitter account Thursday morning.
Affirm logo displayed on a phone screen and Affirm website displayed on a laptop screen are seen in this illustration photo taken in Krakow, Poland on August 16, 2021. (Photo by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
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2:31 p.m. ET: Dow sheds 500 points as rate worries weigh on tech stocks
Here were the main moves in markets as of 2:31 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -66.45 (-1.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,520.73
Dow (^DJI): -454.94 (-1.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,313.12
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -215.12 (-1.48{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,275.25
Crude (CL=F): -$0.11 (-0.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $89.55 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$3.20 (-0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,833.40 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +9 bps to yield 2.0190{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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1:05 p.m. ET: Dow tumbles after Fed president says he favors 100bp hike by July
Fed St. Louis President James Bullard said he favors interest rate increase of 100 basis points by July 1, including a 50 basis point hike as soon as March.
“I’d like to see 100 basis points in the bag by July 1,” Bullard, who is voting on monetary policy this year, said in an interview with Bloomberg News on Thursday. “I was already more hawkish but I have pulled up dramatically what I think the committee should do.”
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 200 points following the remarks.
Bullard is said to be the most hawkish member of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC). His take comes following another red-hot read on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which notched a 7.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} annual gain in January.
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12:13 p.m. ET: Stocks edge higher to pare earlier losses
Here were the main moves in markets during midday trading:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -16.16 (-0.35{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,571.02
Dow (^DJI): -76.11 (-0.21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,691.95
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -46.31 (-0.32{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,444.06
Crude (CL=F): +$1.86 (+2.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $91.52 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$5.80 (+0.32{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,842.40 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +8.1 bps to yield 2.0100{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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9:30 a.m. ET: US stocks falter as Wall Street weighs decades-high CPI print
Here were the main moves in markets at the start of Thursday’s session:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -54.84 (-1.20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,532.34
Dow (^DJI): -262.99 (-0.74{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,505.07
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -258.68 (-1.79{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,231.69
Crude (CL=F): -$0.22 (-0.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $89.44 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$7.50 (-0.41{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,829.10 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +5.3 bps to yield 1.9820{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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8:55 a.m. ET: Stock futures tumble after red-hot inflation data
Here’s how stock futures fared as investors mulled the latest CPI report
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -37.75 points (-0.82{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,540.00
Dow futures (YM=F): -139 points (-0.39{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,502.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -192.00 points (-0.28{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,846.25
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8:30 a.m. ET: Inflation reaches fresh 40-year high
U.S. inflation accelerated in January, with prices across a wide range of goods and services soaring further amid lingering shortages and supply chain disruptions.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Thursday morning registered a 7.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} annual gain in January. Consensus economists were looking for a 7.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise, according to Bloomberg data. This represented the fastest rise since 1982, as well as an acceleration from the 7.0{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} year-over-year increase seen in December.
Energy prices remained a key contributor to the overall CPI and were up by 27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on a year-over-year basis in January. Within energy, fuel oil prices jumped 9.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on a monthly basis, tracking the rise in crude oil prices, which rallied to a seven-year high at the beginning of the year. Electricity prices also jumped by a pronounced 4.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} on a month-over-month basis.
First-time unemployment filings came in lower in the latest weekly data, continuing a recent downward trend in jobless claims as Omicron-related pressures on the labor market begin to abate. Another 223,000 Americans filed new claims for the week ended Feb. 5, below expectations of 230,000.
Filings for unemployment insurance have fallen consistently in recent weeks after a temporary surge in mid-January to a print of nearly 300,000, the highest level since October. The rush of U.S. workers applying for benefits was attributed to disruptions from the Omicron variant of COVID-19 and adjusted workforces following the seasonal hiring increase at the end of 2021.
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7:00 a.m. ET: Contracts on Wall Street’s main benchmarks flat ahead of CPI print
Here were the main moves in futures trading ahead of Thursday’s open
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -72.50 points (-0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,570.50
Dow futures (YM=F): +32.00 points (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,673.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -43.75 points (-0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 14,994.50
Crude (CL=F): +$0.96 (+1.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $90.62 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$3.00 (-0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,833.60 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -0.00 bps to yield 1.9290{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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6:00 p.m. ET Wednesday: Stock futures rise slightly ahead of key inflation data
Here’s how the key indexes fared in post-market trading Wednesday:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +4.00 points (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,581.75
Dow futures (YM=F): +78.00 points (+0.22{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,719.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +15.50 points (+0.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,038.25
Crude (CL=F): +$0.31 (+0.35{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $89.97 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$2.60 (+0.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,833.60 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -2.5 bps to yield 1.9290{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the closing bell January 14, 2022, in New York, New York. (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY / AFP) (Photo by TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images)
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Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc
Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance
