Stock futures climb after strong economic data helps ease Omicron concerns

Stock futures climb after strong economic data helps ease Omicron concerns

The S&P 500 closed at a record on Thursday in a pre-holiday rally along with the Dow and Nasdaq, buoyed by positive data that suggested the Omicron variant was less likely to lead to hospitalizations. The indexes recouped losses from earlier this week after investors shrugged off worries the variant would stunt economic recovery.

The S&P closed at an all time high of 4,725.72, while the Dow ended the week just shy of 36,000. The Nasdaq Composite also closed 130 points up, or 0.85{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

“One of the ways pandemics end is significant mutation of the virus. It looks like Omicron may be our friend in that regard, significant mutations different enough from the parent that it doesn’t make people as sick,” True Health Initiative President Dr. David Katz told Yahoo Finance Live.

In other positive news on the COVID-19 front, Merck (MRK) received authorization from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for its at-home COVID-19 drug, just one day after Pfizer (PFE) was also approved for use of its own treatment.

The pill developed by Merck in conjunction with Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, called molnupiravir, was shown to reduce hospitalizations and deaths by around 30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in clinical trial data. Pfizer’s pill was reported to be 90{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} effective at preventing hospitalizations and deaths in high-risk patients.

Shares of Merck closed down 0.54{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in early trading at $75.75 a piece, while Pfizer’s stock closed at $58.66 per share, down 1.49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

Investors weighed a trove of economic releases ahead of the holiday weekend.

The Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims totaled 205,000, sustaining a downward trend from the highs of their pandemic peak and reflecting labor market tightness brought on by a demand for workers heading into the new year. The latest print brings the four-week moving average for new claims to its lowest in 52 years, ticking up by 2,750 week-over-week to reach 206,250.

Meanwhile, U.S. consumer prices accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly four decades as shoppers confront rising inflation levels ahead of the holidays.

“Workers have a lot of power, and that’s likely to result in continued wage gains,” Girard chief investment officer Timothy Chubb told Yahoo Finance. “What worries us from an inflation standpoint is, at what point do we potentially see some of those inflation risks sort of hand the baton to the labor market?”

Meanwhile, November sales of new U.S. homes jumped 12.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to a seven-month high of 744,000, buoyed by low mortgage rates and higher demand in the housing industry.

U.S. durable goods orders rose by 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, up from the prior month, boosted by a sharp rise in aircraft orders.

In Wednesday’s trading session, investors weighed an upbeat print on consumer confidence levels and the release of an upwardly revised estimate for domestic GDP, placing all three major averages in the green after a mixed open.

The Conference Board reported consumer confidence increased by a greater-than-expected margin in December, with the headline index at 115.8 during the month and higher than Bloomberg’s consensus estimates of 111.0. In November, the index had a reading of 111.9, revised from an initial report of 109.5. Meanwhile, the nation’s gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in the third quarter in the final estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis after the initial report of 2.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

“We’ve been saying that this is definitely a buy the dip sort of market because we expect more earnings upgrades to come,” Anik Sen, PineBridge Investments global head of equities told Yahoo Finance Live. “We think that the real debate should be about the length and strength of the economic cycle ahead.”

Thursday’s market gains may be the start of the year-end Santa Claus Rally — one in which stocks climb higher in the final seven trading sessions of a year, plus the first two trading days of the new year. Starting today, traders are looking to see whether nearly a century of data will uphold.

For reasons unclear, over the past 92 years, the S&P 500 gained 77{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the time during the year-end rally period, according to data from Sundial Capital Research. The average gain in this nine-day trading period tallied 2.66{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

4:00 p.m. ET: S&P 500 closes at a record

Here were the main moves as markets closed ahead of the Christmas weekend:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +29.16 (+0.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,725.72

  • Dow (^DJI): +196.57 (+0.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,950.46

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +131.48 (+0.85{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,653.37

  • Crude (CL=F): +$1.13 (+1.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.89 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$7.90 (+0.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,810.10 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.6 bps to yield 1.4930{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

12:32 p.m. ET: S&P 500 climbs to new high

Here were the main moves during intraday trading:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +32.83 (+0.70{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,729.39

  • Dow (^DJI): +230.23 (+0.64{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,984.12

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +128.35 (+0.83{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,650.25

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.92 (+1.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.68 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$6.80 (+0.38{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,809.00 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.6 bps to yield 1.4930{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

10:21 a.m. ET: New homes sales rise to highest since April

November sales of new U.S. homes jumped 12.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to a seven-month high. The Census Bureau reported that new home sales rose 82,000 last month from October to 744,000, buoyed by low mortgage rates and higher demand in the housing industry.

Forecast ranged between 737,000-850,000 across 51 estimates, with a median of 770,000, according to Bloomberg data.

The median sales price of a new home sold in November was $416,900, 14.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} higher than a year ago.

9:30 a.m. ET: Markets open higher following economic releases

Here were the main moves in markets at open Thursday morning:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +10.69 (+0.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,707.25

  • Dow (^DJI): +102.67 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,856.56

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +180.81 (+1.18{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,521.89

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.12 (+0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $72.88 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.30 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,807.50 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.5 bps to yield 1.4620{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

9:07 a.m. ET: Consumer prices accelerate, while spending slows

U.S. consumer prices accelerated at the fastest pace in nearly four decades. The Commerce Department reported an increase of 5.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} over the past 12 months, reflecting the fastest gain in 39 years as shoppers confront rising inflation levels ahead of the holidays. 

Meanwhile, personal spending rose 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, a slowdown from last month’s print of 1.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The figure, which accounts for 70{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of economic activity, comes amid the latest wave of COVID-19 cases, hinting at the possibility of a broader economic slowdown. 

Personal incomes rose 0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, down slightly from the 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in October.

8:42 a.m. ET: Durable goods orders beat expectations

U.S. durable goods orders rose by 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, up from the prior month, boosted by a sharp rise in aircraft orders.

Core capital goods orders, a measure of business investment in equipment that excludes aircraft and military hardware, fell 0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after an upwardly revised 0.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in October, according to Bloomberg.

The median Bloomberg estimates projected a 0.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase in core capital goods orders and a 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise in total durables bookings.

8:30 a.m. ET: First-time unemployment filings remain at pre-pandemic levels

Initial jobless claims remained at pre-pandemic lows, sustaining a downward trend from the highs of their coronavirus peak and reflecting labor market tightness brought on by a demand for workers heading into the new year.

The Labor Department reported on Thursday that new initial jobless claims totaled 205,000 for the week ending December 18, on par with consensus estimates. The latest print brings the four-week moving average for new claims to its lowest in 52 years, ticking up by 2,750 week-over-week to reach 206,250.

“The direction in the labor market recovery remains positive, with demand still strong,” Rubeela Farooqi, chief economist for High Frequency Economics, wrote in a note. “Labor shortages are persisting, preventing a stronger recovery, although these appeared to ease somewhat in November.”

7:00 a.m. ET: Contracts on Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq edge higher ahead of open

Here’s how markets were moving in early trading on Thursday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +13.75 points (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,699.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +107.00 points (+0.30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,739.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +34.75 points (+0.21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 16,204.50

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.20 (+0.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $72.96 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$5.20 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,807.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.08 bps to yield {1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} 130.66

6:01 p.m. Wednesday ET: Stock futures flat ahead of overnight trading

Here’s how markets were moving in late trading on Wednesday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +4.00 points (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,690.00

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +19.00 points (+0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,651.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +11.05 points (+0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 16,181.25

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.30 (+0.41{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $73.06 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$3.00 (+0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,805.20 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.06 bps to yield {1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} 161.4375

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Stock market news live updates: December 21, 2021

Stock market news live updates: December 21, 2021

Markets rallied on Tuesday, closing higher in a major comeback from the biggest three-day drop since September 30.

In a turnaround from earlier losses, all three major indexes closed up more than 1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} each, with the Dow gaining 560 points, or 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. The S&P also rose 1.78{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in an 81-point jump, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 360 points, or 2.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

The moves follow news of federal involvement to mitigate Omicron and imminent authorization of an at-home COVID-19 treatment after renewed fears around the variant spooked traders in previous sessions, igniting concerns that rising case numbers could derail economic growth and worsen inflationary pressures.

President Biden also announced in remarks Tuesday afternoon that he was considering a reversal of travel restrictions related to the Omicron variant of COVID-19. The U.S. implemented a ban on travel from South Africa along with seven other neighboring countries upon discovery of the strain.

The FDA is expected to authorize at-home treatment pills for the virus from Pfizer (PFE) and Merck (MRK). Shares of Pfizer closed down 3.39{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at $58.95 a piece, while Merck traded at $75.43 per share, down 1.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

TCW Group Senior Portfolio Manager Diane Jaffee told Yahoo Finance Live earlier that despite immediate sell-offs that typically happen upon new variants or rising cases, the markets always resume their climb once investors get comfortable with vaccination rates, news of treatments and how cases are resolved.

“There is that fear happening in investors’ minds — rightly so,” Jaffee said. “But there is that underlying strength to the U.S. economy that cannot be denied.”

“On the virus side, ultimately what we’ve seen with prior surges and prior variants is that market sell-offs tend to be somewhat contained to a period of time, so we do expect that as we get better and better at dealing with some of these challenges from the economic and market perspective, things will likely settle down despite some of the public health challenges we have ahead,” Meera Pandit, a global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management told Yahoo Finance Live.

As Americans scramble to look for COVID-19 tests amid the recent surge, Rite Aid (RAD) has outlined plans to close underperforming locations in a bid to further improve its profits. The pharmacy said Tuesday that it will shutter up to 63 stores in coming months, with expectations to pad earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization by $25 million.

Shares of Rite Aid closed up 21{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} at $15.05 a piece.

Even with a holiday-shortened week of trading, investors are tuning into a packed economic release schedule, and new inflation data will be a central focus among investors in the coming days.

The Conference Board is set to release its latest consumer confidence index on Wednesday, expected to show an only modest uptick for the month of December.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis will also publish fresh prints on Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Thursday, a key measure of price changes in the economy. Consensus data compiled by Bloomberg showed PCE is projected to climb at a 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} month-over-month rate in November.

4:01 p.m. ET: Stocks jump to end 3-day losing streak

Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:01 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +81.22 (+1.78{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,649.24

  • Dow (^DJI): +560.97 (+1.61{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,493.13

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +360.14 (+2.40{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,341.09

  • Crude (CL=F): +$2.83 (+4.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $71.44 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$6.00 (-0.33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,788.60 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +6.8 bps to yield 1.4870{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

3:15 p.m. ET: Biden weighs easing of travel restrictions

President Joe Biden in remarks Tuesday afternoon said he was considering a reversal of travel restrictions related to the Omicron variant of COVID-19. The U.S. implemented a ban on travel from South Africa along with seven other neighboring countries upon discovery of the strain.

“Look, remember why I said we put the travel ban on—to see how much time we had before it hit here so we could begin to decide what we needed by looking at what was happening in other countries. And we’re passed that now,” the president said.

Markets each continued to extend gains ahead of close. The Nasdaq was up 323.88 points, or 2.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, and the Dow continued its climb, rising 1.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 567.13 during intraday trading. The S&P 500 was up 1.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

12:35 p.m. ET: Stocks U-turn from three-day drop in intraday rally

Here’s how stocks were trading during the midday session as of 12:35 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +62.64 (+1.37{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,630.66

  • Dow (^DJI): +531.68 (+1.52{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,463.84

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +235.50 (+1.57{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,216.44

  • Crude (CL=F): +$2.57 (+3.75{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $71.18 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$7.30 (-0.41{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,787.30 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +6.5 bps to yield 1.4840{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

10:39 a.m. ET: AT&T greenlights Microsoft acquisition of ad unit

AT&T (T) has agreed to sell its Xandr global advertising platform to Microsoft (MSFT). The telecom giant said in an announcement of the deal Tuesday that Xandr’s technology “strategically complements Microsoft’s current advertising offerings.” Further details about the acquisition were not immediately disclosed.

The move comes amid investor concerns that AT&T was struggling to pay off its debt after the firm poured billions into becoming a one-stop-shop media company, satellite TV provider and advertising platform. Xandr was created under former AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson following the $1.6 billion purchase of advertising company AppNexus in 2018.

Shares of AT&T were up 2.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in early trading to $24.69 a piece, while Microsoft traded at $320.05 per share, up 0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. 

9:53 a.m. ET: Memory chip maker rallies after earnings beat

Shares of Micron Technology (MU) climbed after the maker of memory chips surpassed analyst estimates for second-quarter sales. The company is anticipating chip shortages will ease in the second half of 2022 and businesses are positioned to rebound.

The stock ticked up as much as 9.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, posting its biggest intraday percentage gain since April 2020, according to Bloomberg. Shares traded at $88.80 a piece in the early session, up 8.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after market open.

Micron is “a compellingly growth at a reasonable price (GARP) beneficiary of secular data center, 5G, metaverse, auto trends and a catch-up candidate after underperforming” BMO Capital Markets wrote.

9:30 a.m. ET: Markets rebound from three-day sell-off

Here were the main moves in markets as of 9:30 a.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +39.48 (+0.86{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,607.50

  • Dow (^DJI): +299.00 (+0.86{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,231.16

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +153.45 (+1.02{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,134.40

  • Crude (CL=F): +$1.77 (+2.58{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $70.38 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$0.40 (+0.02{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,795.00 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +5.1 bps to yield 1.4700{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

7:00 a.m. Tuesday ET: Higher futures point to ‘seesaw market’ action

Here were the main moves in markets ahead of Tuesday’s open:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 45 points (+0.99{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,603.50

  • Dow futures (YM=F): 319 points (+0.92{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,132.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 176.5 points (+1.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,798.00

6:00 p.m. Monday ET: Futures contracts sink

Here were the main moves ahead of the overnight trading session:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 13.75 points (+0.30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,572.25

  • Dow futures (YM=F): 102 points (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 34,915.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 69.75 points (+0.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,691.00

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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Stock futures open little changed

Stock futures open little changed

Stock futures opened flat Tuesday night immediately after a recovery rally for the duration of the regular investing working day, with the major equity indexes recouping some losses soon after a few consecutive classes of declines. 

Contracts on the S&P 500 ticked up. Futures on the Nasdaq were very little changed, after the tech-hefty index outperformed to soar 2.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} all through Tuesday’s session. 

With buying and selling volume comparatively mild all through the holiday break-shortened week, buyers have ongoing to evaluate a multitude of developments on the Omicron variant and its likely effects on financial exercise. These updates have come along with expectations for tighter financial coverage upcoming calendar year from the Federal Reserve. 

Omicron has overtaken other coronavirus variants to become the dominant strain in the U.S., and now accounts for about a few-quarters of new bacterial infections. From this backdrop, President Joe Biden on Tuesday declared a sequence of new actions to deal with the virus, together with opening further federal COVID-19 testing and vaccination websites and sending 500 million at-property immediate exams to Us citizens for free beginning upcoming month. 

“I feel this is a great time to remind everybody that the sector is a major indicator. So the market is heading to go down, the industry is going to bottom in advance of the undesirable news peaks,” Liz Younger, SoFi head of expenditure approach, told Yahoo Finance Are living on Tuesday. “We most likely haven’t read all of the bad news however. We unquestionably haven’t hit a peak in the Omicron cases.” 

“But what we’re seeing in the action nowadays is that, we’ve experienced 3 times of a offer-off. And some of that I think was overdone, in particular in a ton of these parts that are positioned to do well in a reopening atmosphere,” she included. “You have to have some income in the marketplace in parts that must do perfectly in that distinct way. Airlines are just one of those, cyclicals are additional of these. When we look at the pattern in the market these days, I feel this helps make feeling for what’s ahead for the upcoming 6 to 12 months.”

Other strategists agreed that investors really should brace for much more choppiness heading into the conclusion of the calendar year. 

“I believe you by natural means are receiving a tiny bit of this bounce immediately after we have experienced a few choppy sessions. But also the market is striving to rate and digest the new data we’re getting in this article,” Anna Han, Wells Fargo securities equity strategist, instructed Yahoo Finance Reside on Tuesday. “We had some information on Build Again Superior obtaining delayed, we have much more data on Omicron. These are the issues you’re seeing blend with reduced liquidity as we get into 12 months-stop, so we’re not amazed to see the volatility.” 

Throughout a question and response session through his remarks Tuesday, Biden mentioned he and Senator Joe Manchin (D., W. Va.) have been “likely to get a thing performed” on the White House’s about $1.8 trillion Construct Again Far better social coverage invoice. Manchin experienced explained to Fox News earlier this week he could not back the laws in element given persistent inflation issues, suggesting the monthly bill would be scuttled in absence of assistance from the moderate Democratic lawmaker. 

6:10 p.m. ET Tuesday: Inventory futures open up tiny adjusted

Here’s where markets were trading as the overnight session kicked off Tuesday evening: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +1 issue (+.02{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,641.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +19.00 factors (+.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,400.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -1.75 details (-.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,978.25

Photo by: NDZ/STAR MAX/IPx 2021 12/16/21 Atmosphere at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 16, 2021 in New York.

Image by: NDZ/STAR MAX/IPx 2021 12/16/21 Environment at the New York Inventory Exchange (NYSE) on December 16, 2021 in New York.

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Abide by her on Twitter

Stock futures steady after sell-off in tech shares

Stock futures steady after sell-off in tech shares

Stock futures opened slightly higher Thursday evening after a rout in technology stocks earlier during the regular trading day, as investors turned away from growth stocks in anticipation of tighter monetary policy next year.

Contracts on the S&P 500 ticked up. Earlier, the index closed lower, with the tech-heavy information technology and consumer discretionary sectors leading the way lower. The Nasdaq underperformed to drop 2.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to give back all gain after a rally on Wednesday. The Dow ended just slightly in the red. 

Shares of FedEx (FDX) jumped in late trading after the shipping giant raised its full-year earnings forecast, delivered better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results and authorized a new $5 billion stock buyback program. Rivian (RIVN), meanwhile, saw shares sink during the after-hours session following its first quarterly report since its IPO last month. The electric-vehicle maker said in its shareholder letter it expected to be “a few hundred vehicles short” of its prior target of producing 1,200 units by the end of this year. 

Investors’ main focus this week has remained fixed on the Federal Reserve’s updated outlook on monetary policy for next year, with the central bank’s projections delivered mid-week suggesting the Fed could hike interest rates three times next year.

The specter of higher rates – and a lower-liquidity environment as the central bank also speeds up the tapering process of its asset purchases — has continued to weigh heavily on longer-duration technology and growth stocks valued heavily on future earnings potential. Even with Wednesday’s bounce, the Nasdaq Composite was off 5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} over the past month. And shares of some notable technology stocks sank deeply on Thursday, with Apple (AAPL) shares dropping by nearly 4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, and Adobe’s (ADBE) stock sliding by more than 10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, after the software giant delivered a full-year sales forecast that suggested slowing growth for its services during the reopening.

On the other hand, cyclical stocks in the energy and financials sectors outperformed on Thursday, with the prospects of higher interest rates and stronger growth seen as benefitting these sectors. 

“The thing investors have to understand is, we’re going through a major transition in monetary policy,” Troy Gayeski, FS Investments chief market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Thursday. “The Fed has been running emergency policies arguably far longer than they should have been, and as that money supply growth slows down as they ease off the balance sheet expansion and ultimately hike next year, one would at least expect more volatility in markets. And that’s really what we’ve been seeing the last month.” 

“The biggest difference between now and six months ago, or even more a year ago, is you could pretty much go long anything and you were confident it was going to go up. The economy was booming, we had a lot of fiscal stimulus, we still had unprecedented monetary policy stimulus,” he added. “And it’s a very different environment in 2022 where you’re going to have to pick and choose much more carefully.” 

6:01 p.m. ET Thursday: Stock futures steady after tech sell-off

Here were the main moves in markets as the overnight session kicked off on Thursday: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +5.25 points (+0.11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,674.00

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +52 points (+0.14{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,954.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +6 points (+0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,876.50

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 13: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 13, 2021 in New York City. As investors are still concerned about rising prices due to inflation, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 175 points in Monday morning trading. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – DECEMBER 13: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 13, 2021 in New York City. As investors are still concerned about rising prices due to inflation, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 175 points in Monday morning trading. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter

Stock market news live updates: Tech stocks lead indexes higher following Fed decision: S&P 500 gains 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Stock market news live updates: Tech stocks lead indexes higher following Fed decision: S&P 500 gains 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Stocks ended sharply higher Wednesday afternoon as investors mulled the Federal Reserve’s final monetary policy decision of 2021, which came against a backdrop of persistent inflationary pressures. 

The S&P 500 and Dow turned positive after spending much of the trading day earlier in the red. The Nasdaq outperformed to add more than 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. Bond yields rose, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield added more than 3 basis points to rise rise above 1.47{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} immediately following the Fed’s 2 p.m. monetary policy decision.

All eyes on Wednesday were on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement. In this, the Fed announced it was speeding the withdrawal of its crisis-era stimulus programs. The Fed ramped up the rate of tapering of its asset purchasing program to $30 billion per month. 

Previously, the Fed’s asset purchasing program took place at a rate of $120 billion per month in combined Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities from the start of the pandemic through November. Last month, the Fed began dialing back these purchases by $15 billion, and announced another $15 billion reduction for December.

The Federal Reserve’s updated Summary of Economic Projections, or so-called “dot plot,” also showed the likelihood of several interest rate hikes next year. The updated projections showed the median member of the Federal Open Market Committee expected three rate hikes in 2022, followed by as many as four hikes in 2023 and as many as two in 2024. This charted out a quicker cadence of rate hikes than projected in the Fed’s September dot plot. 

The firming economic recovery and soaring inflation has given the central bank room for a more hawkish tilt to policy. Last week’s Consumer Price Index showed the fastest surge in U.S. consumer prices since 1982 on a year-over-year basis in November. And on Tuesday, the U.S. Producer Price Index jumped by the most on record at a 9.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} year-over-year increase for last month. 

The Federal Reserve’s latest statement suggested officials were taking note of the rising prices.

“Supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic and the reopening of the economy have continued to contribute to elevated levels of inflation,” according to the statement.

A number of strategists noted the trading activity in recent sessions and weeks reflected the market already pricing in a more hawkish Fed. Software and other growth names were some of the biggest laggards in the major indexes during Tuesday’s session, and the Nasdaq dropped more than 1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} during the trading day.

“When you have an anticipation of higher interest rates, growth stocks or long-duration growth stocks certainly get hit the hardest,” Art Hogan, national chief market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live on Tuesday. “When you do that net present value calculation with a higher interest rate, that implied multiple or ascribed multiple to growth names comes in. So a lot of that’s been priced in. When you think about some of those real growth-y names and momentum names and risk assets, they’ve seen a lot of carnage.”

“What the market is trying to tell us here is that when you set your asset allocation plan for next year, you want to have a barbell approach with growth on one side — you want to have those growth names that are actually valued at a multiple to earnings, not a multiple to revenues or a multiple to cash flows or a multiple to sales,” he added. “We anticipate 2022 is going to be very much like 2021, where you really want to have a balance between growth and value.”

4:03 p.m. ET: Tech stocks lead indexes higher following Fed decision: S&P 500 gains 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, Dow adds 383 points, or 1.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:03 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +75.77 (+1.64{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,709.86

  • Dow (^DJI): +383.38 (+1.08{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,927.56

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +327.94 (+2.15{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,565.58

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.86 (+1.22{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $71.59 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$7.10 (+0.40{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,779.40 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.5 bps to yield 1.4630{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

2:13 p.m. ET: Stocks trade higher as investors consider Fed decision 

Here’s a snapshot of how markets were trading Wednesday afternoon following the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy statement and projection materials. 

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +21.61 (+0.47{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,655.70

  • Dow (^DJI): +142.76 (+0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,686.94

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): +58.47 (+0.38{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,295.27

  • Crude (CL=F): -$0.25 (-0.35{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $70.48 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$10.00 (-0.56{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,762.30 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.3 bps to yield 1.462{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

11:51 a.m. ET: Pfizer shares set record high as company awaits COVID-19 pill authorization 

Shares of Pfizer (PFE) jumped to a fresh record intraday high on Wednesday amid optimism over the company’s COVID-19 pill, called Paxlovid. President Joe Biden said Tuesday that the White House had ordered enough of the antiviral pills to treat 10 million Americans, and that he was “encouraged by the promising data” that the drug-maker released on the pill. Pfizer’s data showed earlier this week that the drug decreased the risk of hospitalization or death by 89{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for high-risk adults. 

Pfizer’s stock was up more than 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to trade above $57 per share Wednesday afternoon, and paced toward a fifth straight day of gains. The stock has risen 56{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the year-to-date. 

11:10 a.m. ET: Amazon Web Services sees connectivity issues, impacting Twitch, other platforms

Amazon’s web hosting platform Amazon Web Services (AWS) experienced connectivity issues Wednesday morning, triggering outages at platforms from Zoom Video Communications to Amazon-owned Twitch and other online services. 

As of 10:42 a.m. ET, more than 20,000 outages were reported on DownDetector. Amazon Web Services said on its status page Wednesday that it was still investigating connection issues in Northern California and Oregon as of late morning Eastern Time. 

9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks open flat 

Here’s where markets were trading as of 9:30 a.m. ET: 

  • S&P 500 (^GSPC): +4.04 (+0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,638.13

  • Dow (^DJI): +1.87 (+0.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,546.05

  • Nasdaq (^IXIC): -5.75 (-0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,919.00

  • Crude (CL=F): -$0.54 (-0.76{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $70.19 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$1.60 (-0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,770.70 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.8 bps to yield 1.467{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

8:30 a.m. ET: Retail sales rose 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November, missing estimates

U.S. retail sales rose at a slower-than-expected rate in November after a jump in October, as electronics and department store retailers’ sales especially dropped during the month. 

Retail sales were up 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November compared to October, the Commerce Department said on Wednesday. This came in below the 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} monthly increase consensus economists were expecting, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. In October, retail sales rose 1.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which was upwardly revised from the 1.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} increase previously expected. 

By category, department stores saw one of the biggest sales drops during the month with a decline of 5.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. General merchandise store sales more broadly declined 1.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. Electronics and appliance store sales fell by 4.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, and health and personal care store sales were down 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. 

“I see this more as a sign that Americans started their holiday shopping early, as opposed to bad news for retailers,” Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at CreditCards.com, wrote in an email Wednesday morning. He noted that on a year-over-year basis, retail sales were still up 18.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. 

“That year-over-year comparison is more significant, and it illustrates robust expansion,” he added. 

7:26 a.m. ET Wednesday: Stock futures drift

Here’s where markets were trading ahead of the opening bell on Wednesday: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +0.25 points (+0.01{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,637.25

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +12 points (+0.03{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,564.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -11.5 points (-0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,913.25

  • Crude (CL=F): -$0.87 (-1.23{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $69.86 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): -$2.00 (-0.11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,770.30 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): +0.9 bps to yield 1.448{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}

6:24 p.m. ET Tuesday: Stock futures edge up ahead of Fed decision

Here were the main moves in markets as the overnight session kicked off on Tuesday: 

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +2.25 points (+0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,639.25

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +25 points (+0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,577.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +12.25 points (+0.08{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,937.00

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 13: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 13, 2021 in New York City. As investors are still concerned about rising prices due to inflation, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 175 points in Monday morning trading. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – DECEMBER 13: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 13, 2021 in New York City. As investors are still concerned about rising prices due to inflation, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 175 points in Monday morning trading. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Emily McCormick is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter

Stock market news live updates: December 14, 2021

Stock market news live updates: December 14, 2021

Stock futures were up on Monday following declines during the earlier trading session for all three major U.S. indexes as investors set their sights on a prolific week in Washington that includes the Federal Reserve’s final policy-setting meeting of 2021 and the release of new prints on retail sales, housing starts and other economic data.

Contracts on the S&P 500 edged higher, turning positive after the blue-chip index retreated from a rally last week that helped the index post its sharpest gains since February. Research from Goldman Sachs showed the S&P 500 is powered by five stocks that have accounted for 51{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of its return since the end of April. Microsoft, Google, Apple, Nvidia and Tesla account for more than one-third of the S&P 500’s 26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} return this year, according to Goldman.

Futures for the Dow and Nasdaq were also up. 

Traders are awaiting a decision from the Fed on how quickly the central bank will tighten monetary policy amid a backdrop of fresh inflation numbers that reflected the fastest annual increase in nearly four decades. The Labor Department’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) soared 6.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in November compared to last year, according to figures published last week.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to hold its two-day policy-setting meeting starting on Tuesday, followed by the release of the monetary policy statement and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell Wednesday. An updated Summary of Economic Projections outlining individual members’ outlooks for economic conditions and interest rates is set to accompany the statement.

The Fed has been under pressure to control rising inflation levels, as investors watch for clues of a faster taper that could set the stage for earlier rate hikes.

“Because inflation expectations do appear to be adaptive, our view is that the longer inflation stays elevated, the greater the risk that consumers adjust their behaviors in a way that contributes to persistently elevated inflation” wrote PIMCO economist Tiffany Wilding in a recent note to clients.

“We believe the Fed will want to manage this risk by shortening the time over which it winds down its purchases of U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), aiming to end the program in March 2022, while also signaling a June rate hike is likely,” said Wilding.

PIMCO managing director and portfolio manager Sonali Pier also separately told Yahoo Finance Live that the firm expects to see two hikes in 2022, three hikes in 2023, and potentially four in 2024, with the Fed trying to bring the policy rate to neutral.

“Amid proliferating signs of solid growth and a robust job market, various measures depict a deeply troubled economy,” wrote Oxford Economics senior economist Bob Schwartz in a new report. “Households are downbeat, according to sentiment surveys, and the so-called ‘misery index‘ that adds together inflation and unemployment hovers around recession levels.”

Markets await a trove of fresh economic data this week. November retail sales, out on Wednesday, are expected to rise by 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates. And November housing starts are forecasted to see a month-over-month increase of 3.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.

Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects the U.S. unemployment rate will drop to 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in 2022.

“It’s stunning to see how much the rate has fallen in the last five months,” Morgan chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli told Yahoo Finance Live. “We expect that pace of decline to slow, but it doesn’t take much to get below 4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, even with a tick up in the labor participation rate which has been depressed over the last year and a half.”

6:00 p.m. Monday ET: Stock futures edge higher

Here were the main moves in markets in late trading on Monday:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +5.50 points (0.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,674.25

  • Dow futures (YM=F): +46.00 points (0.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,691

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +10.75 points (0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 16,092.75

Alexandra Semenova is a reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on Twitter @alexandraandnyc

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