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Stocks gained Wednesday afternoon as investors digested a key monetary policy decision from the Federal Reserve, which included a formal announcement of the central bank’s start to tapering its pandemic-era asset purchases.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq each rose to record levels for another session. As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday that it was going to begin slowing the pace of purchases in its crisis-era asset purchase program starting this month. This had been one of the primary tools helping to underpin the economic recovery and financial markets over the course of the pandemic. That asset purchase program has been taking place with $120 billion worth of agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasurys per month over the past more than year.
“In light of the substantial further progress the economy has made toward the Committee’s goals since last December, the Committee decided to begin reducing the monthly pace of its net asset purchases by $10 billion for Treasury securities and $5 billion for agency mortgage-backed securities,” according to the FOMC statement.
“Beginning later this month, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $70 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $35 billion per month,” it added. “Beginning in December, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $60 billion per month and of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $30 billion per month.”
With the tapering announcement now made, the bigger question for market participants has become when the Fed will begin to raise interest rates. The Fed’s latest monetary policy decision will not come with updated projections on the interest rate outlook from individual policymakers. However, at the conclusion of the Fed’s last meeting, the outlook showed a divided committee for next year, with nine members seeing no rate hikes by the end of next year while the other nine members saw at least one hike.
Still, the persistently hotter-than-expected inflationary pressures in the recovering economy have put the Fed in a difficult spot when it comes to waiting on rate hikes, many economists argued. These elevated levels of inflation might push the Fed to raise rates more quickly than previously telegraphed, some maintained. And in the Fed’s latest policy statement Wednesday, the central bank slightly updated its remarks on inflation, saying that “Inflation is elevated, largely reflecting factors that are expected to be transitory.” In September, the Fed had said inflation was “elevated, largely reflecting transitory factors.”
“The Fed’s credibility will be enhanced if Mr. Powell does not have to return to the press conference platform in December, January and March and again have to explain why inflation has risen even further,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, wrote in a note ahead of Wednesday’s decision. “The danger has increased that the Fed will be forced into faster tapering an an insurance hike next. spring, or even a sustained inflation-chasing tightening later in the year.”
Elsewhere, investors continued to monitor a slew of new quarterly earnings results from major corporations. Earlier this week, the major stock indexes had been buoyed by an extended run of better-than-expected profit results.
Some of the latest names that reported results continued this winning streak. Lyft (LYFT) shares gained after the ride-hailing company posted third-quarter revenue and earnings, excluding some items, that exceeded expectations, with a recovery in drivers and ridership helping boost results. Food giant Mondelez (MDLZ) also offered third-quarter results and a full-year forecast that exceeded estimates. In other corporate developments, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) announced a new partnership with Kroger and plan to accelerate its share repurchases, and the stock surged in early trading.
Other companies, however, bucked the positive trend of stronger-than-expected earnings and guidance. Activision Blizzard (ATVI) shares sank in late trading after the video game company posted weak current-quarter guidance, and Match Group (MTCH) slid as lingering COVID-related impacts in Asia also dampened its outlook.
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4:03 p.m. ET: Stocks reach fresh all-time highs after Fed announces start to tapering as economic recovery progresses
Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:03 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +29.91 (+0.65{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,660.56
Dow (^DJI): +104.95 (+0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 36,157.58
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +161.98 (+1.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,811.58
Crude (CL=F): -$4.04 (-4.81{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $79.87 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$15.50 (-0.87{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,773.90 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3 bps to yield 1.5790{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks open lower as market eyes Fed
Here were the main moves in markets as of 9:35 a.m. ET:
Crude (CL=F): $81.44 per barrel, -$2.47 (-2.94{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a})
Gold (GC=F): $1,769.50 per ounce, -$19.90 (-1.11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a})
10-year Treasury (^TNX): flat, to yield 1.5440{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
8:15 a.m. ET: U.S. private payrolls topped estimates in October: ADP:
U.S. private employers added back more jobs than expected last month, reflecting a pick-up in the pace of hiring as more service-focused companies brought back workers to meet elevated demand.
Private payrolls grew by 571,000 in October compared to September, ADP said in its closely watched monthly report. Consensus economists were looking for a rise of 400,000 jobs, according to Bloomberg data. The month earlier, private payrolls had risen by a downwardly revised 523,000, from the 568,000 previously reported.
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7:16 a.m. ET Wednesday: Stock futures mixed ahead of Fed meeting
Here’s where stocks were trading Wednesday morning ahead of the opening bell:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -4.75 points (-0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,618.75
Dow futures (YM=F): -48 points (-0.13{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,890.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +8 points (+0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,969.25
Crude (CL=F): -$2.05 (-2.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $81.86 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$4.90 (-0.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,784.50 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -1.6 bps to yield 1.531{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
6:03 p.m. ET Tuesday: Stock futures drift sideways
Here’s where markets were trading as the overnight session kicked off:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -2.25 points (-0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,621.25
Dow futures (YM=F): -19 points (-0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,919.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -11.5 points (-0.07{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,949.75
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 30: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on September 30, 2021 in New York City. In afternoon trading the Dow was down over 250 points as investors continue to worry about inflation, wages and supply chain issues. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
Stocks touched records on Monday, with equities looking to build on gains after the S&P 500’s best month since November 2020.
The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq each set record intraday and closing levels. Investors headed into November trading with momentum from a record-setting October, when the S&P 500 logged its best monthly gain in nearly a year, powered higher by a combination of estimates-topping corporate profit results. And according to data from LPL Financial, November has marked the best month of the year for stocks over the past 10 years and since 1950.
Fresh catalysts for the markets are due out later this week. Investors in the coming days will be eyeing a slew of new quarterly earnings results for companies from Clorox (CLX) to CVS Health Corp. (CVS), Lyft (LYFT) and Square (SQ), on the back of what has been an already historically strong earnings season.
As of Friday, just over half of all S&P 500 companies had reported actual third-quarter earnings results, and 82{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of these topped consensus estimates on profit results, according to data from FactSet. The expected earnings growth rate for the index is more than 36{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which, if maintained, would mark the third-highest profit growth rate for the index since 2010.
Though some of the heavily weighted index components from last week had disappointed against consensus estimates — with both Amazon and Apple shares dropping after posting weaker-than-expected results and guidance — other stronger results helped offset these misses, with names including Alphabet and Microsoft rallying to record levels on the heels of their respective reports.
This week will also include key economic data reports including the October jobs report on Friday, which is expected to show a pick-up in job creation compared to the disappointing pace of hiring shown in each of August and September.
Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee will convene for its next monetary policy-setting meeting. on Tuesday and Wednesday, then release its policy statement and hold a press conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This meeting is expected to set the stage for an announcement of tapering of the Fed’s crisis-era asset purchase program, which is currently taking place at rate of $120 billion per month in purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities and Treasuries. Amid the improving data tracking the economic recovery, the Fed previously signaled that a tapering announcement would come before year-end, and that the tapering process would continue until the middle of next year.
Given the market has been anticipating the start to tapering for months now, speculation around when the Fed will make a move on interest rates has become a point of particular interest to investors. This week’s FOMC statement and press conference are likely to provide some more color to market participants around how committee members are thinking about the timing for interest-rate hikes, especially given the persistent jump in inflation seen in data including last week’s core personal consumptions expenditures report. That print showed a fourth straight month with core PCE jumping at 3.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} year-over-year rate, or its fastest since 1991.
These still-heightened inflation data, combined with companies’ earnings call anecdotes of higher input prices and labor costs, have led some investors to speculate the Fed might need to move to raise rates more quickly than previously telegraphed to stave off an unchecked and lasting surge in inflation.
Others, however, suggested the Fed might hold off on a move on interest rates until labor market conditions have come closer to pre-pandemic levels.
“Fed funds futures currently price in the first rate hike by September 2022. If realized, that would be much faster than the one-year gap that occurred between the end of the Fed’s asset purchases in December 2014 and its first rate hike in December 2015,” Sam Bullard, Wells Fargo senior economist, wrote in a note. “We think the Fed is unlikely to hike rates by September 2022, given that numerous FOMC policymakers have made clear that the bar for a rate hike is much higher than the bar for tapering asset purchases.”
“At August’s rate of job growth, it would take a little more than two years to recoup 100{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the jobs lost during the pandemic, and even then, the economy would be still several million jobs short of its pre-pandemic trend,” he added. “We still expect the labor market to face a meaningful employment gap for the entirety of 2022. As such, we currently have the first rate hike not occurring until 2023. Obviously the economic situation is fluid and risks to the outlook suggest the rate hike could come sooner than we expect. A very close eye needs to be kept on all incoming data.”
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4:04 p.m. ET: Stocks kick off Nov. trading at records: S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq set all-time closing highs
Here were the main moves in markets as of 4:04 p.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +8.29 (+0.18{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,613.67
Dow (^DJI): +94.28 (+0.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,913.84
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +97.53 (+0.63{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,595.92
Crude (CL=F): +$0.37 (+0.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $83.94 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$9.60 (+0.54{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,793.50 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +1.8 bps to yield 1.5750{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
12:26 p.m. ET: Tesla shares jump to fresh record high in fourth straight session of gains
Shares of Tesla (TSLA) surged anew to set a fresh intraday high on Monday, with the stock advancing for a fourth straight session amid a slew of upbeat news for the electric-vehicle maker. Shares rose nearly 5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to top $1,160 as of afternoon trading.
Tesla’s stock built on gains from October, when shares gained 44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in a fifth consecutive monthly advance. On Monday, Chinese company Ganfeng Lithium said in won a deal to provide Tesla lithium products for three years, helping lock in an agreement to provide components for the automaker amid a global jump in input prices.
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11:18 a.m. ET: ‘We do still see opportunities within equities for investors’: BofA
With the S&P 500 setting yet another record intraday high, some strategists are striking a more cautious tone on the blue-chip index.
“We’re a bit more cautious on the S&P 500 at these levels, we expect more downside than upside through year-end, and we’re looking for sort of a flattish market between now and 2022, just given some of the risks that we’re seeing right now,” Jill Carey Hall, Bank of America U.S. equity strategist and head of U.S. small and mid-cap strategy, told Yahoo Finance Live on Monday.
“We do still see opportunities within equities for investors,” she added. “One of those areas is small caps…we’re projecting based on where valuations are today small caps could actually see mid-to-high single-digit annualized returns over the next decade.”
“The pick-up in capex [capital expenditures] spending by corporations that we’re seeing evidence of this earnings season, that’s typically bullish for smaller, more domestic companies,” she added. “And small caps aren’t as stretched on valuations.”
—
10:25 a.m. ET: Construction spending slips
U.S. construction spending fell 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September, reversing an increase of 0.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in August. The results missed expectations of an increase of 0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, compiled by Bloomberg analysts consensus. The drop is activity was attributed to supply shortages and soaring building material prices. Private construction spending fell 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, while single-family spending fell 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
—
10:00 a.m. ET: Manufacturing expansion slows
The institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of factory activity in the U.S. slipped to a reading of 60.8 in October from 61.1 a month earlier — a 16-month low. The slowdown came amid ongoing supply chain issues across the globe.
“Production was little changed, and the other headline components – supplier delivery times, employment, and inventories – rose modestly. But orders tend to lead, so the headline index likely will dip next month,” Ian Shepherdson, chief economist for Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in an email following the results. “That said, the downturn in China’s PMIs points to downside risk for the ISM over the next few months, though U.S. manufacturing will not slow as much as China’s, which is being hurt by the authorities’ pursuit of zero COVID. At the same time, U.S. manufacturers have seen a bigger demand boost as a result of the outsized fiscal stimulus.”
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9:38 a.m. ET: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise
Here were the main moves in markets as of 9:38 a.m. ET:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +7.15 (+0.16{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,612.53
Dow (^DJI): +160.83 (+0.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,980.39
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +6.27 (+0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,504.66
Crude (CL=F): +$1.05 (+1.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $84.62 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$8.40 (+0.47{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,792.30 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +4.3 bps to yield 1.6000{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
—
7:22 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures point to a higher open
Here’s where markets were trading ahead of the opening bell:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): +21 points (+0.46{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,618.00
Dow futures (YM=F): +176.00 points (+0.49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,880.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): +63.5 points (+0.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,902.00
Crude (CL=F): +$0.46 (+0.55{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $84.03 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): +$0.80 (+0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,784.70 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.6 bps to yield 1.582{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
Stocks ended at records on Friday as investors digested disappointing earnings results from Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) that came during an otherwise solid quarterly reporting season from many major companies.
The S&P 500 set record intraday and closing highs. The index posted monthly gain of more than 6.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in October, or its best single-month advance since November 2020. The consumer discretionary, energy and information technology sectors outperformed during the month.
The Nasdaq also eked out a fresh record level, even as a couple of heavily weighted technology giants saw shares dip.
Amazon shares dropped after the e-commerce juggernaut missed third-quarter expectations and forecasted a jump in expenses in the fourth quarter due to supply chain disruptions and rising costs for labor, materials and freight. These factors are expected to generate “several billion dollars of additional costs” to Amazon in the current quarter, the company said in its earnings statement.
Peer tech giant Apple also disappointed Wall Street in its fiscal first-quarter results, with key iPhone sales missing expectations even following the launch of its latest iPhone 13 handset series. Shares of Apple’s suppliers including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Broadcom (AVGO) also fell immediately following the results.
For Wall Street, the results appeared to vindicate concerns that mounting supply chain disruptions, labor costs and materials shortages were impacting companies of all sizes heading into the holiday season, and were creating challenges for corporations to keep pace with rising demand.
And for Apple, Amazon and some other technology companies, investors have been additionally fearful that these key members of last year’s lucrative “stay-at-home” trade would be unable to maintain lofty growth rates following a pandemic-induced surge in their businesses. Amazon’s sales grew 15{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in the third quarter, slowing down markedly from 27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rate in the second quarter.
“I will agree, they are overvalued,” Rebecca Felton, Riverfront Investment Group senior market strategist, told Yahoo Finance Live about technology companies on Thursday. “But remember valuation is a condition, not a catalyst. And the catalyst I think for technology is going to be the consistency both on the top and bottom line.”
Meanwhile, investors continued to digest a mixed batch of economic data results, which included a weaker-than-expected print on third-quarter gross domestic product. The report, while comprehensive in scope, still offered an only backwards-looking view of state of the economy. Some pundits suggested economic activity had already begun to pick up, helping to underpin companies’ performance into the final months of the year and equity prices.
“I still think the best is yet to come,” Heritage Capital President Paul Schatz told Yahoo Finance on Thursday. “GDP for Q3 is going to be a trough. We’re going to have much stronger growth in Q4 and Q1 of next year, inflation is going to peak in the next six months, supply chain issues strongly moderate by early Q2 of next year. And this rising tide is going to lift most ships.”
“The economically sensitive trade, whatever you want to call it — reopening, reflation, inflation — that trade is very alive, very well and it’s not over,” he added.
—
4:03 p.m. ET: Stocks end at records, S&P 500 posts best monthly advance since Nov. 2020
Here’s where markets closed out Friday’s session:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +8.96 (+0.19{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,605.38
Dow (^DJI): +89.01 (+0.25{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,819.49
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +50.27 (+0.33{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,498.39
—
2:39 p.m. ET: Microsoft overtakes Apple as most highly valued stock in the U.S. by market cap
Microsoft (MSFT) shares jumped on Friday, sending the stock’s market capitalization above that of Apple and making it the most valuable stock in the U.S.
The Redmond, Washington-based company was the best performer in the Dow on Friday, extending gains after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results earlier this week as its Microsoft Azure cloud unit surged in growth yet again. As of Friday afternoon, Microsoft’s market capitalization was hovering at $2.478 trillion, versus Apple’s $2.466 trillion, based on Yahoo Finance data.
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12:30 p.m. ET: S&P 500, Nasdaq turn higher to jump to record intraday highs
Stocks reversed course to push into positive territory in afternoon trading, led by gains in the communication services and health-care sectors in the S&P 500. The Dow reversed earlier losses of as many as 97 points to rise by more than 110 points, or 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
The Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 also each eked out intraday records despite drops in heavily weighted technology stocks Amazon and Apple.
—
9:31 a.m. ET: Stocks drop as tech shares lag
Here’s where markets were trading just after the opening bell:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -23.57 (-0.51{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,572.85
Dow (^DJI): -15.81 (-0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,714.67
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -111.67 (-0.72{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,339.63
Crude (CL=F): -$0.72 (-0.87{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $82.09 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$21.60 (-1.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,781.00 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.9 bps to yield 1.598{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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8:41 a.m. ET: Core PCE inflation rose 3.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September over last year, matching August’s rate
The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation rose at the expected annual rate in September, holding at an elevated level on a historical basis but averting an expected acceleration.
Core personal consumption expenditures, which capture underlying price changes and exclude volatile food and energy prices, rose 3.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September over last year, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said Friday. This was in-line with the expected rate of change, according to Bloomberg data, and matched the prior month’s gain.
On a month-over-month basis, the core PCE rose 0.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, slowing slightly from August’s 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise.
The broadest measure of personal consumption expenditures rose 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September compared to August and 4.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September over last year. Both of these metrics matched expectations.
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8:33 a.m. ET: Personal income drops more than expected in September while spending meets estimates
Personal income posted a larger than expected monthly decline in September as stimulus from more government crisis-relief programs waned. Spending, however, rose in-line with estimates.
U.S. consumer income fell 1.0{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September compared to August, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said on Friday. This was bigger than the 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} decline expected, according to Bloomberg consensus data. The Bureau of Economic Analysis noted that the end of enhanced federal unemployment benefits in early September was one major factor contributing to the drop.
Spending, meanwhile, rose at a 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} clip, matching expectations. This followed a 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} monthly rise in consumer spending in August.
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7:22 a.m. ET Friday: Stock futures fall, with Apple, Amazon weighing on Nasdaq
Here’s where markets were trading ahead of the opening bell:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -22.25 points (-0.49{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,565.25
Dow futures (YM=F): -42 points (-0.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,571.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -137.00 points (-0.87{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,627.75
Crude (CL=F): +$0.20 (+0.24{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $83.01 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$5.80 (-0.32{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,796.80 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +3.4 bps to yield 1.603{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 30: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on September 30, 2021 in New York City. In afternoon trading the Dow was down over 250 points as investors continue to worry about inflation, wages and supply chain issues. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
By DAMIAN J. TROISE and ALEX VEIGA, AP Company Writers
Wall Street capped a choppy day of investing Friday with an uneven end for the big inventory indexes, as losses for various substantial technological innovation organizations weighed on the sector.
The S&P 500 was tiny adjusted a working day following it established an all-time higher, but the .1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} slip ended its seven-day successful streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Normal notched a .2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} acquire, fantastic adequate to eclipse the blue-chip index’s past record substantial set on Aug. 16. The tech-major Nasdaq composite fell .8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Some 65{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of shares in the S&P 500 shut increased, led predominantly by economical and overall health care companies, but losses in interaction and technology firms, which have an outsized body weight on the benchmark index, held the S&P 500 down.
Despite the downbeat complete to the 7 days, the a few big indexes posted their third weekly achieve in a row. Investors have been reviewing company earnings about the last two months and the typically sound outcomes have helped stocks frequently grind larger.
Political Cartoons
Remarks Friday by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appeared to place traders in a marketing mood. Powell stated that the supply chain difficulties that have induced disruptions across the U.S. economic system given that this summer months have gotten even worse and will very likely maintain inflation elevated effectively into following calendar year.
“This plan that inflation is transitory appears to be going out the window as you see inflation anticipations begin to increase,” claimed Willie Delwiche, financial investment strategist at All Star Charts.
The S&P 500 slipped 4.88 details to 4,544.90. The Dow received 73.94 points to 35,677.02. The Nasdaq slid 125.50 details, or .8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, to 15,090.20.
Compact firm shares also shed ground. The Russell 2000 index fell 4.92 factors, or .2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, to 2,291.27.
Bond yields edged lower. The generate on the 10-yr Treasury fell to 1.64{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} from 1.67{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
With corporate earnings reporting season in whole swing, investors have been seeking for clues as to how corporations are navigating supply chain complications and soaring expenditures for materials, transportation and other goods and services. Numerous companies have warned that the source chain problems and overall bigger expenditures will damage operations.
Wall Road is monitoring what the Fed will do to tackle inflation. The central bank is broadly anticipated to announce upcoming month programs to commence minimizing month-to-month bond buys that the Fed started in the early times of the pandemic in a bid to decreased lengthier-time period interest premiums and encourage borrowing and paying out.
Powell explained Friday that the Fed is not but well prepared to elevate its benchmark fascination amount from its present-day level in close proximity to zero, even though he instructed that the economy may perhaps be all set for a fee hike subsequent 12 months.
“If the Fed is heading have to be extra intense with increasing premiums or far more intense with going towards tapering to elevating charges, then what is actually the effect, not on individual firms, but on total sectors and the financial system general?” asked Delwiche.
Technology and interaction firms, which are inclined to be amongst the most high priced shares and have benefited from reduced curiosity prices, weighed most on the sector Friday. Chipmaker Intel slumped 11.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} for the greatest drop in the index immediately after reporting disappointing profits.
Snapchat’s guardian firm, Snap, plunged 26.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} after reporting weak income and disclosing that its ad income are being hurt by a privateness crackdown that rolled out on Apple’s iPhones before this yr. The information weighed down several other social media organizations. Facebook fell 5.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and Twitter fell 4.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. Google’s dad or mum, Alphabet, fell 3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Banking institutions and other economic companies designed reliable gains. American Express jumped 5.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} following reporting sound 3rd-quarter fiscal success. The business observed an increase in buyer investing and travel. Financial institution of The united states rose 1.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Reliable earnings served quite a few other corporations get floor. Scorching Wheels and Barbie maker Mattel rose .6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} following reporting solid economical success.
The organization preparing to make President Donald Trump’s new media venture a publicly traded corporation soared for a 2nd straight working day. Digital Entire world Acquisition nearly tripled in the to start with minute of buying and selling, then wound up with ending the day at $94.20, up 107{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}. It traded as high as $175.
The inventory additional than quadrupled the working day just before, surging to $45.50 from $9.96, right after the organization stated it would merge with Trump Media & Know-how Team, which aims to challenge Fb, Twitter and even Disney’s streaming movie company. Professionals are split on the company’s prospective customers, but some investors are betting on it to be common.
Which is regardless of the deal’s announcement remaining strange in how number of aspects it available for buyers.
European markets finished typically greater. Markets in Asia closed mixed. State media in China claimed China Evergrande Group manufactured an overdue bond payment on Friday. The assets developer’s wrestle to decrease its 2 trillion yuan ($310 billion) of financial debt to comply with tighter official curbs on borrowing has prompted fears a default may possibly set off a financial crisis.
Copyright 2021 The Associated Push. All legal rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Stocks were mostly higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 rising to log an all-time high as a parade of strong earnings results and economic data helped buoy equity prices.
The S&P 500 gained 0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to reach record intraday and closing highs, led by outperformance in the consumer discretionary and information technology sectors. A better-than-expected report on new weekly jobless claims also helped boost risk assets, with these improving to a fresh pandemic-era low. The Dow dipped but came off session lows. The 30-stock index had set a fresh record intraday high during the regular trading day on Wednesday, marking its first all-time high since mid-August.
Netflix and Tesla also logged record highs on Thursday, helping pull the tech-heavy Nasdaq up by 0.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Bitcoin prices (BTC-USD) pulled back from an all-time high of $66,000 reached earlier on Wednesday.
Estimates-topping earnings results from companies from Verizon (VZ) to Anthem (ANTM) and Abbott Laboratories (ABT) extended a streak of strong quarterly reports kicked off by the big banks last week. Tesla (TSLA) shares pushed higher after the electric-vehicle maker posted profits that exceeded estimates on the back of record quarterly deliveries, though revenues fell short.
With stocks trading near record levels, these kinds of earnings beats will need to be maintained in order to fuel further appreciation, some strategists said.
“Both the fiscal stimulus and monetary stimulus has been driving markets really since the ricochet off the bottom of COVID,” Michael Vogelzang, chief investment officer for Captrust, told Yahoo Finance Live on Wednesday. “What we’re looking at now is, the easy work is done. The Fed is beginning to taper shortly, we expect. We don’t expect interest rates to rise much from here. But what it means is that the market is reasonably valued. It’s not cheap by anyone’s estimation. And in order to progress here … we’re going to have to see stronger earnings growth, and continued strong earnings growth.”
“We’ve seen the peak cycle acceleration,” he added. “Now it’s the hard work – can we continue to create profit growth in our various companies? Can the market and the economies around the globe work through some of the logistical issues?”
So far this earnings season, many goods-producing companies have highlighted concerns over rising input prices and ongoing supply chain disruptions. Tesla noted in its earnings release that “a variety of challenges, including semiconductor shortages, congestion at ports and rolling blackouts, have been impacting our ability to keep factories running at full speed.” And Procter & Gamble (PG) earlier this week estimated it would see over $2 billion in expenses this fiscal year related to rising commodity and freight costs.
However, investors have so far at least momentarily looked through these concerns, and clutched to optimism that these pressures will prove temporary.
“What we have done, in large part, by having massive aggregate demand outpacing aggregate supply is likely not destroyed demand. We likely delayed demand,” Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B Riley-National, told Yahoo Finance Live on Wednesday. “And I think that elongates the economic cycle into ’22.”
“It means we’re going to have above-mean economic growth or GDP growth in ’22, higher than we’re estimating right now, likely, as we start seeing some of that supply response come online,” he added. “I certainly think that when we look at those companies that have to discuss things like margin degradation because of supply chain logistics and not having pricing power, you’re definitely going to have that environment where you have winners and losers.”
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4:04 p.m. ET: S&P 500 logs record as Netflix, Tesla set new all-time highs
Here’s where the major indexes closed out the session on Thursday:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): +13.59 (+0.3{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,549.78
Dow (^DJI): -6.26 (-0.02{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,603.08
Nasdaq (^IXIC): +94.02 (+0.62{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,215.70
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2:12 p.m. ET: It’s still an ‘equity friendly’ investing environment for stocks: Strategist
Even as concerns over inflation and the global economic outlook remain at the forefront of investors’ attention, the overarching backdrop for equities remains strong due to two key factors, according to at least one strategist.
“We’re continuing to believe that we’re in what we’re calling an ‘equity friendly’ investing environment. We’re right in the middle of earnings … and two key drivers to the market are always earnings and interest rates,” Leo Grohowski, BNY Mellon chief investment officer, told Yahoo Finance Live. “Coming into the third quarter, we had a lot of [earnings] warnings. In fact we had the third-highest warnings of any quarter in the last 10 years. So I think expectations were measured. And so far, with about 20{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} of the [S&P 500] companies in, we’re running about 80{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} better than expected. So earnings we believe will continue to move forward at a nice clip.”
“And the key is interest rates. Our thought has been the 10-year doesn’t get higher than maybe 1.75{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} by the end of the year,” he added. “That supports market multiples at around the 23 level … [getting] us to a market forecast of 4,600 to 4,700 this year. So we’re continuing to be constructive on the equity market based on the earnings and interest rate market.”
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10:00 a.m. ET: Existing homes sales bounced back in September, jumping far more than expected
Existing home sales rebounded in September after a dip in August, jumping by the most in a year as demand for housing remained robust.
Sales of previously owned homes were up 7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in September month-on-month, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) said in a new report Thursday. This was the biggest leap since September 2020, and brought sales to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.29 million units. Consensus economists were looking for an only 3.7{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise in September, according to Bloomberg data. In August, existing home sales had dropped by 2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in their first decline since May.
“Some improvement in supply during prior months helped nudge up sales in September,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a press statement. “Housing demand remains strong as buyers likely want to secure a home before mortgage rates increase even further next year.”
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9:51 a.m. ET: WeWork opens at $11.28 per share after hitting public markets via SPAC merger
Co-working company WeWork opened for trading at $11.28 per share after making its public debut via a merger with the special-purpose acquisition company BowX Acquisition Corp. The combined company is now trading under the ticker “WE” on the New York Stock Exchange. The SPAC had closed Wednesday at $10.38 per share.
The listing comes after a series of stumbles for WeWork, which resulting in the ousting of its co-founder Adam Neumann after a failed attempt to go public via a traditional initial public offering in 2019. The SPAC merger gives the company a valuation of about $9 billion, versus an as much as $47 billion valuation after a an investment by SoftBank in the private markets.
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9:32 a.m. ET: Stocks open slightly lower
Here’s where markets were trading just after the opening:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): -3.92 (-0.09{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,532.27
Dow (^DJI): -42.63 (-0.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 35,566.71
Nasdaq (^IXIC): -6.73 (-0.04{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,114.95
Crude (CL=F): -$0.45 (-0.54{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $82.97 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$1.90 (-0.11{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,783.00 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.1 bps to yield 1.656{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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8:33 a.m. ET: New weekly jobless claims set fresh pandemic-era low, dropping to 290,000
Initial unemployment claims improved to their lowest level since March 2020 last week, as the number of firings and other voluntary separations slowed amid widespread labor shortages.
Weekly unemployment claims totaled 290,000 during the week ended Oct. 16, the Labor Department’s data showed on Thursday. The prior week’s jobless claims were upwardly revised slightly to 296,000 from the 293,000 previously reported.
Continuing jobless claims for the week ended Oct. 9 also came in at their lowest level since March of last year. These unexpectedly broke below 2.5 million for the first time since the start of the pandemic, totaling 2.481 million.
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7:25 a.m. ET Thursday: Stock futures give back some gains after Dow’s record-setting session
Here’s where markets were trading Thursday morning:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -12 points (-0.27{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 4,516.00
Dow futures (YM=F): -104 points (-0.29{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,373.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -34.25 points (-0.22{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,343.25
Crude (CL=F): -$0.65 (-0.78{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $82.77 a barrel
Gold (GC=F): -$3.40 (-0.19{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to $1,781.50 per ounce
10-year Treasury (^TNX): +2.6 bps to yield 1.661{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}
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6:05 p.m. ET Wednesday: Stock futures edge lower
Here’s where markets were trading Wednesday evening:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): -2.25 points (-0.05{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 4,525.75
Dow futures (YM=F): -30 points (-0.08{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}), to 35,447.00
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): -18 points (-0.12{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}) to 15,359.5
NEW YORK, NEW YORK – SEPTEMBER 30: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on September 30, 2021 in New York City. In afternoon trading the Dow was down over 250 points as investors continue to worry about inflation, wages and supply chain issues. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
