Tuesday, 14th December
Eurozone Industrial Production (MoM) (Oct)
Wednesday, 15th December
French CPI (MoM) (Nov) Final
French HICP (MoM) (Nov) Final
Spanish CPI (YoY) (Nov) Final
Spanish HICP (YoY) (Nov) Final
Italian CPI (MoM) (Nov) Final
Thursday, 16th December
French Manufacturing PMI (Dec) Prelim
French Services PMI (Dec) Prelim
German Manufacturing PMI (Dec) Prelim
German Services PMI (Dec) Prelim
Eurozone Private Sector PMIs (Dec) Prelim
Eurozone Wages / Trade Data
ECB Policy Decision and Press Conference
Friday, 17th December
German PPI (MoM) (Nov)
German Ifo Business Climate Index (Dec)
Eurozone Inflation (Nov) Final
The Majors
It was a bearish end to the week for the European majors on Friday.
The DAX30 slipped by 0.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, with the CAC40 and EuroStoxx600 ending the day down by 0.24{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and by 0.30{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} respectively.
Finalized inflation figures from Germany had a muted impact on the majors, with the markets focused on U.S inflation on the day.
Later in the European session, another pickup in inflationary pressure supported a more hawkish set of interest rate projections next week. What remains unclear, however, is how the FED sees inflation and the new Omicron strain impacting growth.
Away from the economic calendar, news updates from labs across the world remained a key area of interest. While early tests showed that vaccine efficacy was materially lower, there were also indications that the new strain was a milder form.
The Stats
It was a quiet day on the Eurozone economic calendar. Finalized German inflation figures were in focus going into the European open.
In November, German consumer prices fell by 0.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which was in line with prelim figures. Consumer prices had risen by 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} in October.
Germany’s annual rate of inflation accelerated from 4.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 5.2{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which was also in line with prelim figures.
According to Destatis,
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The inflation rate increased for the 6th time in a row, reaching the highest level recorded in 2021.
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A higher inflation rate was last recorded in Jun-1992, when the rate of inflation was 5.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
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Compared with Nov-2020, energy prices were up 22.1{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, with prices for food up 4.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
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Excluding energy, Germany’s annual rate of inflation stood at 3.4{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
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Prices for services increased by 2.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} compared with the same month a year earlier.
From the U.S
Inflation and consumer sentiment figures were in focus late in the European session.
In November, the U.S core annual rate of inflation picked up from 4.6{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to 4.9{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, which was in line with forecasts. For the month of November, core consumer prices rose by 0.5{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, with consumer prices up 0.8{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
In spite of the pickup in inflation, consumer sentiment unexpectedly improved in December.
According to prelim figures, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index climbed from 67.4 to 70.4 versus a forecasted fall to 67.1. Hopes of a pickup in wage growth amidst rising prices supported improved sentiment.
The Market Movers
For the DAX: It was a mixed day for the auto sector on Friday. Continental rose by 1.10{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to buck the trend.
Daimler tumbled by 13.82{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, however, with Volkswagen and BMW ending the day down by 1.00{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and by 0.73{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} respectively.
It was also a mixed day for the banks. Deutsche Bank fell by 0.82{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, while Commerzbank rose by 0.17{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
From the CAC, it was a bearish day for the banks. Soc Gen and Credit Agricole fell by 0.50{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and by 0.65{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} respectively, with BNP Paribas declining by 1.24{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
The French auto sector had a mixed session, however. Stellantis NV rose by 0.26{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, while Renault ended the day down by 0.45{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}.
Air France-KLM and Airbus SE avoided the red, rising by 0.43{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and by 0.08{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} respectively.
On the VIX Index
It was back into the red for the VIX on Friday, marking a 4th day in the red for the week.
Reversing an 8.44{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} rise on Thursday, the VIX slid by 13.39{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} to end the day at 18.69.
The Dow ended the day up by 0.60{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a}, with the NASDAQ and the S&P500 gaining 0.73{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} and by 0.95{1b90e59fe8a6c14b55fbbae1d9373c165823754d058ebf80beecafc6dee5063a} respectively.
The Day Ahead
It’s a quiet day ahead on the Eurozone’s economic calendar. There are no material stats due out of the Eurozone to provide the majors with direction.
From the U.S, there are also no stats to consider, leaving the majors in the hands of OPEC’s monthly report and Omicron news updates.
With the FED in action on Wednesday and the ECB in focus on Thursday, it could be a testy start to the week.
The Futures
In the futures markets, at the time of writing, the Dow Mini was up by 31 points.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
This article was originally posted on FX Empire
